Samsung Life Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

032830 Stock   104,600  1,400  1.32%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Samsung Life Insurance on the next trading day is expected to be 104,738 with a mean absolute deviation of 1,825 and the sum of the absolute errors of 109,482. Samsung Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Samsung Life stock prices and determine the direction of Samsung Life Insurance's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Samsung Life's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Samsung Life works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Samsung Life Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 28th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Samsung Life Insurance on the next trading day is expected to be 104,738 with a mean absolute deviation of 1,825, mean absolute percentage error of 6,370,109, and the sum of the absolute errors of 109,482.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Samsung Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Samsung Life's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Samsung Life Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Samsung LifeSamsung Life Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Samsung Life Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Samsung Life's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Samsung Life's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 104,736 and 104,741, respectively. We have considered Samsung Life's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
104,600
104,736
Downside
104,738
Expected Value
104,741
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Samsung Life stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Samsung Life stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -422.3085
MADMean absolute deviation1824.6943
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0183
SAESum of the absolute errors109481.6551
When Samsung Life Insurance prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Samsung Life Insurance trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Samsung Life observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Samsung Life

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Samsung Life Insurance. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
105,998106,000106,002
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
86,41386,415116,600
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Samsung Life. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Samsung Life's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Samsung Life's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Samsung Life Insurance.

Other Forecasting Options for Samsung Life

For every potential investor in Samsung, whether a beginner or expert, Samsung Life's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Samsung Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Samsung. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Samsung Life's price trends.

Samsung Life Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Samsung Life stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Samsung Life could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Samsung Life by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Samsung Life Insurance Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Samsung Life's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Samsung Life's current price.

Samsung Life Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Samsung Life stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Samsung Life shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Samsung Life stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Samsung Life Insurance entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Samsung Life Risk Indicators

The analysis of Samsung Life's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Samsung Life's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting samsung stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Samsung Life

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Samsung Life position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Samsung Life will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Samsung Stock

  0.67203650 Dream Security coPairCorr

Moving against Samsung Stock

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  0.37293780 AptaBio TherapeuticsPairCorr
  0.35053080 Wonbang TechPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Samsung Life could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Samsung Life when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Samsung Life - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Samsung Life Insurance to buy it.
The correlation of Samsung Life is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Samsung Life moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Samsung Life Insurance moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Samsung Life can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in Samsung Stock

Samsung Life financial ratios help investors to determine whether Samsung Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Samsung with respect to the benefits of owning Samsung Life security.