LG Display Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

034220 Stock   9,840  80.00  0.81%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of LG Display Co on the next trading day is expected to be 9,840 with a mean absolute deviation of 218.98 and the sum of the absolute errors of 12,920. 034220 Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast LG Display stock prices and determine the direction of LG Display Co's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of LG Display's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A two period moving average forecast for LG Display is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

LG Display Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 24th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of LG Display Co on the next trading day is expected to be 9,840 with a mean absolute deviation of 218.98, mean absolute percentage error of 86,935, and the sum of the absolute errors of 12,920.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict 034220 Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that LG Display's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

LG Display Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest LG DisplayLG Display Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

LG Display Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting LG Display's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. LG Display's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 9,838 and 9,842, respectively. We have considered LG Display's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
9,840
9,840
Expected Value
9,842
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of LG Display stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent LG Display stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria125.8077
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 33.3898
MADMean absolute deviation218.9831
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0206
SAESum of the absolute errors12920.0
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of LG Display Co price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of LG Display. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for LG Display

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as LG Display. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9,8389,8409,842
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8,6168,61810,824
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
9,7919,8679,942
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as LG Display. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against LG Display's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, LG Display's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in LG Display.

Other Forecasting Options for LG Display

For every potential investor in 034220, whether a beginner or expert, LG Display's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. 034220 Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in 034220. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying LG Display's price trends.

LG Display Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with LG Display stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of LG Display could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing LG Display by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

LG Display Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of LG Display's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of LG Display's current price.

LG Display Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how LG Display stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading LG Display shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying LG Display stock market strength indicators, traders can identify LG Display Co entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

LG Display Risk Indicators

The analysis of LG Display's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in LG Display's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting 034220 stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with LG Display

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if LG Display position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in LG Display will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with 034220 Stock

  0.84215480 Daewoo SBI SPACPairCorr
  0.78302430 InnometryPairCorr

Moving against 034220 Stock

  0.45203650 Dream Security coPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to LG Display could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace LG Display when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back LG Display - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling LG Display Co to buy it.
The correlation of LG Display is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as LG Display moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if LG Display moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for LG Display can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in 034220 Stock

When determining whether LG Display is a strong investment it is important to analyze LG Display's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact LG Display's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding 034220 Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of LG Display to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Portfolio Holdings module to check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing.
Please note, there is a significant difference between LG Display's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if LG Display is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, LG Display's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.