AfreecaTV Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

067160 Stock  KRW 96,500  100.00  0.10%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of AfreecaTV Co on the next trading day is expected to be 100,462 with a mean absolute deviation of 2,238 and the sum of the absolute errors of 136,528. AfreecaTV Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast AfreecaTV stock prices and determine the direction of AfreecaTV Co's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of AfreecaTV's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
AfreecaTV polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for AfreecaTV Co as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

AfreecaTV Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 26th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of AfreecaTV Co on the next trading day is expected to be 100,462 with a mean absolute deviation of 2,238, mean absolute percentage error of 7,087,422, and the sum of the absolute errors of 136,528.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict AfreecaTV Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that AfreecaTV's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

AfreecaTV Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest AfreecaTVAfreecaTV Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

AfreecaTV Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting AfreecaTV's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. AfreecaTV's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 100,460 and 100,465, respectively. We have considered AfreecaTV's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
96,500
100,460
Downside
100,462
Expected Value
100,465
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of AfreecaTV stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent AfreecaTV stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria133.8843
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation2238.1633
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0231
SAESum of the absolute errors136527.9643
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the AfreecaTV historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for AfreecaTV

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AfreecaTV. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
96,49896,50096,502
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
81,28981,291106,150
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
96,43996,53396,628
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as AfreecaTV. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against AfreecaTV's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, AfreecaTV's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in AfreecaTV.

Other Forecasting Options for AfreecaTV

For every potential investor in AfreecaTV, whether a beginner or expert, AfreecaTV's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. AfreecaTV Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in AfreecaTV. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying AfreecaTV's price trends.

AfreecaTV Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with AfreecaTV stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of AfreecaTV could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing AfreecaTV by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

AfreecaTV Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of AfreecaTV's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of AfreecaTV's current price.

AfreecaTV Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how AfreecaTV stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading AfreecaTV shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying AfreecaTV stock market strength indicators, traders can identify AfreecaTV Co entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

AfreecaTV Risk Indicators

The analysis of AfreecaTV's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in AfreecaTV's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting afreecatv stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Other Information on Investing in AfreecaTV Stock

AfreecaTV financial ratios help investors to determine whether AfreecaTV Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in AfreecaTV with respect to the benefits of owning AfreecaTV security.