Zoom Video Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

0A1O Stock   89.53  4.53  5.33%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Zoom Video Communications on the next trading day is expected to be 92.63 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.07 and the sum of the absolute errors of 62.96. Zoom Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
At this time, Zoom Video's Common Stock Shares Outstanding is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Liabilities And Stockholders Equity is likely to gain to about 10.4 B in 2024, whereas Total Current Liabilities is likely to drop slightly above 952.1 M in 2024.
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Zoom Video works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Zoom Video Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 26th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Zoom Video Communications on the next trading day is expected to be 92.63 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.07, mean absolute percentage error of 2.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 62.96.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Zoom Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Zoom Video's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Zoom Video Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Zoom VideoZoom Video Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Zoom Video Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Zoom Video's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Zoom Video's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 90.78 and 94.49, respectively. We have considered Zoom Video's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
89.53
92.63
Expected Value
94.49
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Zoom Video stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Zoom Video stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.1085
MADMean absolute deviation1.067
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0144
SAESum of the absolute errors62.9554
When Zoom Video Communications prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Zoom Video Communications trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Zoom Video observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Zoom Video

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Zoom Video Communications. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
83.5385.2887.03
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
62.0163.7693.51
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
76.8282.5488.26
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Zoom Video

For every potential investor in Zoom, whether a beginner or expert, Zoom Video's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Zoom Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Zoom. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Zoom Video's price trends.

Zoom Video Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Zoom Video stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Zoom Video could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Zoom Video by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Zoom Video Communications Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Zoom Video's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Zoom Video's current price.

Zoom Video Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Zoom Video stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Zoom Video shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Zoom Video stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Zoom Video Communications entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Zoom Video Risk Indicators

The analysis of Zoom Video's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Zoom Video's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting zoom stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Zoom Stock Analysis

When running Zoom Video's price analysis, check to measure Zoom Video's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Zoom Video is operating at the current time. Most of Zoom Video's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Zoom Video's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Zoom Video's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Zoom Video to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.