Odfjell Technology Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

0ABV Stock   55.70  0.10  0.18%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Odfjell Technology on the next trading day is expected to be 55.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.59 and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.20. Odfjell Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At the present time the value of rsi of Odfjell Technology's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Odfjell Technology's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Odfjell Technology and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Odfjell Technology's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Odfjell Technology, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Odfjell Technology's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.663
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.075
Using Odfjell Technology hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Odfjell Technology from the perspective of Odfjell Technology response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Odfjell Technology on the next trading day is expected to be 55.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.59 and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.20.

Odfjell Technology after-hype prediction price

    
  NOK 55.71  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Odfjell Technology to cross-verify your projections.

Odfjell Technology Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Odfjell price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Odfjell using various technical indicators. When you analyze Odfjell charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Odfjell Technology simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Odfjell Technology are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Odfjell Technology prices get older.

Odfjell Technology Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 23rd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Odfjell Technology on the next trading day is expected to be 55.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.59, mean absolute percentage error of 0.65, and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.20.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Odfjell Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Odfjell Technology's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Odfjell Technology Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Odfjell TechnologyOdfjell Technology Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Odfjell Technology Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Odfjell Technology's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Odfjell Technology's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 54.24 and 57.16, respectively. We have considered Odfjell Technology's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
55.70
55.70
Expected Value
57.16
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Odfjell Technology stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Odfjell Technology stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria68.0532
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0382
MADMean absolute deviation0.5941
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0107
SAESum of the absolute errors20.2
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Odfjell Technology forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Odfjell Technology observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Odfjell Technology

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Odfjell Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
54.2555.7157.17
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
45.4446.9061.27
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Odfjell Technology

For every potential investor in Odfjell, whether a beginner or expert, Odfjell Technology's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Odfjell Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Odfjell. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Odfjell Technology's price trends.

Odfjell Technology Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Odfjell Technology stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Odfjell Technology could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Odfjell Technology by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Odfjell Technology Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Odfjell Technology's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Odfjell Technology's current price.

Odfjell Technology Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Odfjell Technology stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Odfjell Technology shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Odfjell Technology stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Odfjell Technology entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Odfjell Technology Risk Indicators

The analysis of Odfjell Technology's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Odfjell Technology's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting odfjell stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Odfjell Stock Analysis

When running Odfjell Technology's price analysis, check to measure Odfjell Technology's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Odfjell Technology is operating at the current time. Most of Odfjell Technology's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Odfjell Technology's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Odfjell Technology's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Odfjell Technology to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.