Vastned Retail Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

0ET5 Stock   30.90  0.70  2.32%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Vastned Retail Belgium on the next trading day is expected to be 30.48 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.30 and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.17. Vastned Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of Vastned Retail's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Vastned Retail's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Vastned Retail and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Vastned Retail's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Vastned Retail Belgium, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Vastned Retail's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.07)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
2.428
Using Vastned Retail hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Vastned Retail Belgium from the perspective of Vastned Retail response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Vastned Retail Belgium on the next trading day is expected to be 30.48 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.30 and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.17.

Vastned Retail after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 30.9  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Vastned Retail to cross-verify your projections.

Vastned Retail Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Vastned price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Vastned using various technical indicators. When you analyze Vastned charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Vastned Retail is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Vastned Retail Belgium value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Vastned Retail Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 16th of January 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Vastned Retail Belgium on the next trading day is expected to be 30.48 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.30, mean absolute percentage error of 0.15, and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.17.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Vastned Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Vastned Retail's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Vastned Retail Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Vastned RetailVastned Retail Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Vastned Retail Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Vastned Retail's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Vastned Retail's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 29.28 and 31.67, respectively. We have considered Vastned Retail's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
30.90
30.48
Expected Value
31.67
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Vastned Retail stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Vastned Retail stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.2304
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.2979
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0099
SAESum of the absolute errors18.1699
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Vastned Retail Belgium. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Vastned Retail. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Vastned Retail

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vastned Retail Belgium. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
29.7130.9032.09
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
24.4525.6433.99
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Vastned Retail

For every potential investor in Vastned, whether a beginner or expert, Vastned Retail's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Vastned Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Vastned. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Vastned Retail's price trends.

Vastned Retail Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Vastned Retail stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Vastned Retail could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Vastned Retail by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Vastned Retail Belgium Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Vastned Retail's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Vastned Retail's current price.

Vastned Retail Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Vastned Retail stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Vastned Retail shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Vastned Retail stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Vastned Retail Belgium entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Vastned Retail Risk Indicators

The analysis of Vastned Retail's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Vastned Retail's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting vastned stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Vastned Stock Analysis

When running Vastned Retail's price analysis, check to measure Vastned Retail's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Vastned Retail is operating at the current time. Most of Vastned Retail's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Vastned Retail's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Vastned Retail's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Vastned Retail to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.