Farmland Partners Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| 0FA Stock | EUR 9.15 0.10 1.10% |
Farmland Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Farmland Partners' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The value of RSI of Farmland Partners' stock price is roughly 60. This suggests that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of 27th of January 2026. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Farmland, making its price go up or down. Momentum 60
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Farmland Partners hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Farmland Partners from the perspective of Farmland Partners response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Farmland Partners on the next trading day is expected to be 9.28 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.66. Farmland Partners after-hype prediction price | EUR 9.15 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Farmland |
Farmland Partners Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Farmland price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Farmland using various technical indicators. When you analyze Farmland charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Farmland Partners Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 28th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Farmland Partners on the next trading day is expected to be 9.28 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.66.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Farmland Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Farmland Partners' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Farmland Partners Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Farmland Partners | Farmland Partners Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Farmland Partners Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Farmland Partners' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Farmland Partners' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 7.76 and 10.81, respectively. We have considered Farmland Partners' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Farmland Partners stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Farmland Partners stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.2301 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1092 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0131 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 6.662 |
Predictive Modules for Farmland Partners
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Farmland Partners. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Farmland Partners After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Farmland Partners at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Farmland Partners or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Farmland Partners, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Farmland Partners Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Farmland Partners' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Farmland Partners' historical news coverage. Farmland Partners' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 7.63 and 10.67, respectively. We have considered Farmland Partners' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Farmland Partners is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Farmland Partners is based on 3 months time horizon.
Farmland Partners Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Farmland Partners is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Farmland Partners backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Farmland Partners, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.16 | 1.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
9.15 | 9.15 | 0.00 |
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Farmland Partners Hype Timeline
Farmland Partners is presently traded for 9.15on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Farmland is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.16%. %. The volatility of related hype on Farmland Partners is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 9.15. The company has Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 1.17. In the past many companies with similar price-to-book ratios have beat the market. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Farmland Partners to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Farmland Stock please use our How to Invest in Farmland Partners guide.Farmland Partners Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Farmland Partners' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Farmland Partners' future price movements. Getting to know how Farmland Partners' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Farmland Partners may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TKE | Take Two Interactive Software | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.55 | (2.28) | 9.63 | |
| CAC1 | Casio Computer CoLtd | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.41 | (0.03) | 2.04 | (2.39) | 5.98 | |
| AVT | AviChina Industry Technology | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.07 | 0.01 | 4.44 | (4.35) | 13.88 | |
| AY7A | ASM Pacific Technology | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.28 | 0.1 | 4.76 | (4.71) | 14.61 | |
| KDIC | Kingdee International Software | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.46 | (0.03) | 4.26 | (4.24) | 19.66 | |
| S92 | SMA Solar Technology | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.76 | 0.19 | 8.62 | (5.93) | 19.88 | |
| TQ4 | FANDIFI TECHNOLOGY P | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| AO9 | BACKBONE Technology AG | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.88 |
Other Forecasting Options for Farmland Partners
For every potential investor in Farmland, whether a beginner or expert, Farmland Partners' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Farmland Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Farmland. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Farmland Partners' price trends.Farmland Partners Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Farmland Partners stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Farmland Partners could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Farmland Partners by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Farmland Partners Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Farmland Partners stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Farmland Partners shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Farmland Partners stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Farmland Partners entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Farmland Partners Risk Indicators
The analysis of Farmland Partners' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Farmland Partners' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting farmland stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.14 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.24 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.47 | |||
| Variance | 2.16 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.08 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.53 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.29) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Farmland Partners
The number of cover stories for Farmland Partners depends on current market conditions and Farmland Partners' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Farmland Partners is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Farmland Partners' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Farmland Partners Short Properties
Farmland Partners' future price predictability will typically decrease when Farmland Partners' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Farmland Partners often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Farmland Partners' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Farmland Partners' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 45.5 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 16.4 M |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Farmland Stock
When determining whether Farmland Partners offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Farmland Partners' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Farmland Partners Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Farmland Partners Stock:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Farmland Partners to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Farmland Stock please use our How to Invest in Farmland Partners guide.You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.