Hormel Foods Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| 0J5Z Stock | 22.89 0.15 0.65% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Hormel Foods Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 23.11 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.33 and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.47. Hormel Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of Hormel Foods' share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Hormel Foods hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Hormel Foods Corp from the perspective of Hormel Foods response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Hormel Foods Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 23.11 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.33 and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.47. Hormel Foods after-hype prediction price | USD 22.89 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Hormel |
Hormel Foods Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Hormel price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Hormel using various technical indicators. When you analyze Hormel charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
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| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Hormel Foods Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 14th of January 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Hormel Foods Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 23.11 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.33, mean absolute percentage error of 0.18, and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.47.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Hormel Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Hormel Foods' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Hormel Foods Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Hormel Foods | Hormel Foods Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Hormel Foods Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Hormel Foods' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Hormel Foods' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 21.46 and 24.77, respectively. We have considered Hormel Foods' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Hormel Foods stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Hormel Foods stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.2123 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3302 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0146 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 20.4716 |
Predictive Modules for Hormel Foods
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hormel Foods Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Hormel Foods
For every potential investor in Hormel, whether a beginner or expert, Hormel Foods' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Hormel Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Hormel. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Hormel Foods' price trends.Hormel Foods Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Hormel Foods stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Hormel Foods could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Hormel Foods by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Hormel Foods Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Hormel Foods' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Hormel Foods' current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Hormel Foods Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Hormel Foods stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Hormel Foods shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Hormel Foods stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Hormel Foods Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Hormel Foods Risk Indicators
The analysis of Hormel Foods' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Hormel Foods' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting hormel stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.01 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.59 | |||
| Variance | 2.54 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Additional Tools for Hormel Stock Analysis
When running Hormel Foods' price analysis, check to measure Hormel Foods' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hormel Foods is operating at the current time. Most of Hormel Foods' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hormel Foods' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hormel Foods' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hormel Foods to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.