Lennar Corp Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

0JU0 Stock   133.40  1.24  0.92%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Lennar Corp Cl on the next trading day is expected to be 135.31 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.93 and the sum of the absolute errors of 261.44. Lennar Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
At this time, Lennar Corp's Other Current Assets are comparatively stable compared to the past year. Other Stockholder Equity is likely to gain to about 4.8 B in 2025, whereas Total Current Liabilities is likely to drop slightly above 3.2 B in 2025.
An 8-period moving average forecast model for Lennar Corp is based on an artificially constructed time series of Lennar Corp daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Lennar Corp 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 10th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Lennar Corp Cl on the next trading day is expected to be 135.31 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.93, mean absolute percentage error of 39.58, and the sum of the absolute errors of 261.44.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Lennar Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Lennar Corp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Lennar Corp Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Lennar CorpLennar Corp Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Lennar Corp Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Lennar Corp's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Lennar Corp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 133.37 and 137.26, respectively. We have considered Lennar Corp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
133.40
133.37
Downside
135.31
Expected Value
137.26
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Lennar Corp stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Lennar Corp stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria107.0859
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 3.7417
MADMean absolute deviation4.9327
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0319
SAESum of the absolute errors261.435
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Lennar Corp Cl 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Lennar Corp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lennar Corp Cl. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
131.44133.40135.36
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
121.77123.73146.74
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Lennar Corp

For every potential investor in Lennar, whether a beginner or expert, Lennar Corp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Lennar Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Lennar. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Lennar Corp's price trends.

Lennar Corp Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Lennar Corp stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Lennar Corp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Lennar Corp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Lennar Corp Cl Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Lennar Corp's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Lennar Corp's current price.

Lennar Corp Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Lennar Corp stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Lennar Corp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Lennar Corp stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Lennar Corp Cl entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Lennar Corp Risk Indicators

The analysis of Lennar Corp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Lennar Corp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting lennar stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Lennar Stock Analysis

When running Lennar Corp's price analysis, check to measure Lennar Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lennar Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Lennar Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lennar Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lennar Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lennar Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.