RBC Select Fund Forecast - Naive Prediction

0P000083X4  CAD 21.72  0.08  0.37%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of RBC Select Aggressive on the next trading day is expected to be 21.97 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.92. RBC Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast RBC Select stock prices and determine the direction of RBC Select Aggressive's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of RBC Select's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of today the relative strength index (rsi) of RBC Select's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the fund is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of RBC Select's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with RBC Select Aggressive, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using RBC Select hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of RBC Select Aggressive from the perspective of RBC Select response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of RBC Select Aggressive on the next trading day is expected to be 21.97 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.92.

RBC Select after-hype prediction price

    
  CAD 21.8  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of RBC Select to cross-verify your projections.

RBC Select Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine RBC price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for RBC using various technical indicators. When you analyze RBC charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for RBC Select is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of RBC Select Aggressive value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

RBC Select Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 9th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of RBC Select Aggressive on the next trading day is expected to be 21.97 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.92.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict RBC Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that RBC Select's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

RBC Select Fund Forecast Pattern

Backtest RBC SelectRBC Select Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

RBC Select Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting RBC Select's Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. RBC Select's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 21.32 and 22.63, respectively. We have considered RBC Select's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
21.72
21.97
Expected Value
22.63
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of RBC Select fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent RBC Select fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.3371
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.1278
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0061
SAESum of the absolute errors7.9245
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of RBC Select Aggressive. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict RBC Select. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for RBC Select

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as RBC Select Aggressive. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21.1421.8022.46
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
20.9721.6322.29
Details

Other Forecasting Options for RBC Select

For every potential investor in RBC, whether a beginner or expert, RBC Select's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. RBC Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in RBC. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying RBC Select's price trends.

RBC Select Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with RBC Select fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of RBC Select could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing RBC Select by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

RBC Select Aggressive Technical and Predictive Analytics

The fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of RBC Select's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of RBC Select's current price.

RBC Select Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how RBC Select fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading RBC Select shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying RBC Select fund market strength indicators, traders can identify RBC Select Aggressive entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

RBC Select Risk Indicators

The analysis of RBC Select's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in RBC Select's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting rbc fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with RBC Select

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if RBC Select position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in RBC Select will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with RBC Fund

  0.630P0000IUYO Edgepoint Global PorPairCorr
  0.690P00012UCU RBC Global EquityPairCorr
  0.870P0000738U RBC Global DividendPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to RBC Select could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace RBC Select when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back RBC Select - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling RBC Select Aggressive to buy it.
The correlation of RBC Select is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as RBC Select moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if RBC Select Aggressive moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for RBC Select can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in RBC Fund

RBC Select financial ratios help investors to determine whether RBC Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in RBC with respect to the benefits of owning RBC Select security.
Analyst Advice
Analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories
Portfolio Holdings
Check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing
Cryptocurrency Center
Build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency