CI Global Fund Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| 0P0000A357 | 74.28 0.37 0.50% |
0P0000A357 |
CI Global Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 29th of November
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of CI Global Alpha on the next trading day is expected to be 74.47 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.80, mean absolute percentage error of 1.27, and the sum of the absolute errors of 47.01.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict 0P0000A357 Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that CI Global's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
CI Global Fund Forecast Pattern
CI Global Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting CI Global's Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. CI Global's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 73.02 and 75.91, respectively. We have considered CI Global's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of CI Global fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent CI Global fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.6729 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.315 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.7967 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0117 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 47.005 |
Predictive Modules for CI Global
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CI Global Alpha. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for CI Global
For every potential investor in 0P0000A357, whether a beginner or expert, CI Global's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. 0P0000A357 Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in 0P0000A357. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying CI Global's price trends.CI Global Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with CI Global fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of CI Global could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing CI Global by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
CI Global Alpha Technical and Predictive Analytics
The fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of CI Global's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of CI Global's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
CI Global Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how CI Global fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading CI Global shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying CI Global fund market strength indicators, traders can identify CI Global Alpha entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | (9,223,372,036,855) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 74.28 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 74.28 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.19) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.37) |
CI Global Risk Indicators
The analysis of CI Global's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in CI Global's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting 0p0000a357 fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.07 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.31 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.47 | |||
| Variance | 2.17 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.4 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.71 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.10) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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