Coronation Smaller Fund Forecast - Polynomial Regression

0P0000IR32   137.00  0.44  0.32%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Coronation Smaller Companies on the next trading day is expected to be 136.51 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.94 and the sum of the absolute errors of 58.44. Investors can use prediction functions to forecast Coronation Smaller's fund prices and determine the direction of Coronation Smaller Companies's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, exclusively looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading.
  
Coronation Smaller polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Coronation Smaller Companies as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Coronation Smaller Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 27th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Coronation Smaller Companies on the next trading day is expected to be 136.51 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.94, mean absolute percentage error of 1.77, and the sum of the absolute errors of 58.44.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Coronation Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Coronation Smaller's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Coronation Smaller Fund Forecast Pattern

Coronation Smaller Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Coronation Smaller's Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Coronation Smaller's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 135.87 and 137.15, respectively. We have considered Coronation Smaller's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
137.00
135.87
Downside
136.51
Expected Value
137.15
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Coronation Smaller fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Coronation Smaller fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria120.519
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.9426
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0071
SAESum of the absolute errors58.4385
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Coronation Smaller historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Coronation Smaller

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Coronation Smaller. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Other Forecasting Options for Coronation Smaller

For every potential investor in Coronation, whether a beginner or expert, Coronation Smaller's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Coronation Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Coronation. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Coronation Smaller's price trends.

Coronation Smaller Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Coronation Smaller fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Coronation Smaller could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Coronation Smaller by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Coronation Smaller Technical and Predictive Analytics

The fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Coronation Smaller's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Coronation Smaller's current price.

Coronation Smaller Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Coronation Smaller fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Coronation Smaller shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Coronation Smaller fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Coronation Smaller Companies entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Coronation Smaller Risk Indicators

The analysis of Coronation Smaller's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Coronation Smaller's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting coronation fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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