Edgepoint Global Fund Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

0P0000JO4E   39.39  0.21  0.54%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Edgepoint Global Portfolio on the next trading day is expected to be 39.39 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.12. Edgepoint Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Edgepoint Global simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Edgepoint Global Portfolio are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Edgepoint Global Por prices get older.

Edgepoint Global Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 5th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Edgepoint Global Portfolio on the next trading day is expected to be 39.39 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19, mean absolute percentage error of 0.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.12.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Edgepoint Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Edgepoint Global's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Edgepoint Global Fund Forecast Pattern

Edgepoint Global Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Edgepoint Global's Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Edgepoint Global's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 38.78 and 40.00, respectively. We have considered Edgepoint Global's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
39.39
39.39
Expected Value
40.00
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Edgepoint Global fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Edgepoint Global fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.3537
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.058
MADMean absolute deviation0.1853
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0049
SAESum of the absolute errors11.12
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Edgepoint Global Portfolio forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Edgepoint Global observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Edgepoint Global

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Edgepoint Global Por. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
38.7839.3940.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
38.3538.9639.57
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
38.2238.8739.52
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Edgepoint Global

For every potential investor in Edgepoint, whether a beginner or expert, Edgepoint Global's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Edgepoint Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Edgepoint. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Edgepoint Global's price trends.

Edgepoint Global Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Edgepoint Global fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Edgepoint Global could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Edgepoint Global by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Edgepoint Global Por Technical and Predictive Analytics

The fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Edgepoint Global's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Edgepoint Global's current price.

Edgepoint Global Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Edgepoint Global fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Edgepoint Global shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Edgepoint Global fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Edgepoint Global Portfolio entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Edgepoint Global Risk Indicators

The analysis of Edgepoint Global's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Edgepoint Global's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting edgepoint fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Edgepoint Global

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Edgepoint Global position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Edgepoint Global will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Edgepoint Fund

  0.920P0000706A RBC Select BalancedPairCorr
  0.920P00007069 RBC PortefeuillePairCorr
  0.930P0000IUYO Edgepoint Global PorPairCorr
  0.830P0001FAU8 TD Comfort BalancedPairCorr
  0.90P00012UCU RBC Global EquityPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Edgepoint Global could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Edgepoint Global when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Edgepoint Global - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Edgepoint Global Portfolio to buy it.
The correlation of Edgepoint Global is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Edgepoint Global moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Edgepoint Global Por moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Edgepoint Global can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in Edgepoint Fund

Edgepoint Global financial ratios help investors to determine whether Edgepoint Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Edgepoint with respect to the benefits of owning Edgepoint Global security.
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