Echiquier Entrepreneurs Fund Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

0P00017QJY  EUR 2,102  16.48  0.79%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Echiquier Entrepreneurs G on the next trading day is expected to be 2,100 with a mean absolute deviation of 12.92 and the sum of the absolute errors of 762.35. Echiquier Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Echiquier Entrepreneurs stock prices and determine the direction of Echiquier Entrepreneurs G's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Echiquier Entrepreneurs' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Echiquier Entrepreneurs works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Echiquier Entrepreneurs Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Echiquier Entrepreneurs G on the next trading day is expected to be 2,100 with a mean absolute deviation of 12.92, mean absolute percentage error of 268.87, and the sum of the absolute errors of 762.35.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Echiquier Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Echiquier Entrepreneurs' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Echiquier Entrepreneurs Fund Forecast Pattern

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Echiquier Entrepreneurs Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Echiquier Entrepreneurs' Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Echiquier Entrepreneurs' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 2,099 and 2,101, respectively. We have considered Echiquier Entrepreneurs' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
2,102
2,100
Expected Value
2,101
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Echiquier Entrepreneurs fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Echiquier Entrepreneurs fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -1.5235
MADMean absolute deviation12.9212
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.006
SAESum of the absolute errors762.3501
When Echiquier Entrepreneurs G prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Echiquier Entrepreneurs G trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Echiquier Entrepreneurs observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Echiquier Entrepreneurs

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Echiquier Entrepreneurs. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2,1022,1022,103
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1,8922,1152,115
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
2,0812,0972,112
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Echiquier Entrepreneurs

For every potential investor in Echiquier, whether a beginner or expert, Echiquier Entrepreneurs' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Echiquier Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Echiquier. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Echiquier Entrepreneurs' price trends.

Echiquier Entrepreneurs Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Echiquier Entrepreneurs fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Echiquier Entrepreneurs could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Echiquier Entrepreneurs by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Echiquier Entrepreneurs Technical and Predictive Analytics

The fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Echiquier Entrepreneurs' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Echiquier Entrepreneurs' current price.

Echiquier Entrepreneurs Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Echiquier Entrepreneurs fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Echiquier Entrepreneurs shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Echiquier Entrepreneurs fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Echiquier Entrepreneurs G entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Echiquier Entrepreneurs Risk Indicators

The analysis of Echiquier Entrepreneurs' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Echiquier Entrepreneurs' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting echiquier fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Echiquier Fund

Echiquier Entrepreneurs financial ratios help investors to determine whether Echiquier Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Echiquier with respect to the benefits of owning Echiquier Entrepreneurs security.
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