Canoe Defensive Fund Forecast - Simple Regression

0P0001AF4R  CAD 19.65  0.07  0.36%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Canoe Defensive International on the next trading day is expected to be 19.39 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.80. Canoe Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Canoe Defensive stock prices and determine the direction of Canoe Defensive International's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Canoe Defensive's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Canoe Defensive's share price is above 70 as of today. This suggests that the fund is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Canoe, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 70

 Buy Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Canoe Defensive's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Canoe Defensive International, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Canoe Defensive hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Canoe Defensive International from the perspective of Canoe Defensive response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Canoe Defensive International on the next trading day is expected to be 19.39 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.80.

Canoe Defensive after-hype prediction price

    
  CAD 19.65  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Canoe Defensive to cross-verify your projections.

Canoe Defensive Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Canoe price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Canoe using various technical indicators. When you analyze Canoe charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Canoe Defensive price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Canoe Defensive Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 6th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Canoe Defensive International on the next trading day is expected to be 19.39 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18, mean absolute percentage error of 0.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.80.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Canoe Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Canoe Defensive's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Canoe Defensive Fund Forecast Pattern

Backtest Canoe DefensiveCanoe Defensive Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Canoe Defensive Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Canoe Defensive's Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Canoe Defensive's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 18.70 and 20.07, respectively. We have considered Canoe Defensive's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
19.65
19.39
Expected Value
20.07
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Canoe Defensive fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Canoe Defensive fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.1134
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.1771
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.009
SAESum of the absolute errors10.8021
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Canoe Defensive International historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Canoe Defensive

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Canoe Defensive Inte. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18.9719.6520.33
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.0119.6920.37
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
19.2619.5419.81
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Canoe Defensive

For every potential investor in Canoe, whether a beginner or expert, Canoe Defensive's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Canoe Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Canoe. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Canoe Defensive's price trends.

Canoe Defensive Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Canoe Defensive fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Canoe Defensive could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Canoe Defensive by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Canoe Defensive Inte Technical and Predictive Analytics

The fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Canoe Defensive's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Canoe Defensive's current price.

Canoe Defensive Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Canoe Defensive fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Canoe Defensive shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Canoe Defensive fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Canoe Defensive International entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Canoe Defensive Risk Indicators

The analysis of Canoe Defensive's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Canoe Defensive's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting canoe fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Canoe Defensive

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Canoe Defensive position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Canoe Defensive will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Canoe Fund

  0.810P00008207 Mawer InternationalPairCorr
  0.80P00007149 Mawer InternationalPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Canoe Defensive could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Canoe Defensive when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Canoe Defensive - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Canoe Defensive International to buy it.
The correlation of Canoe Defensive is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Canoe Defensive moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Canoe Defensive Inte moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Canoe Defensive can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in Canoe Fund

Canoe Defensive financial ratios help investors to determine whether Canoe Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Canoe with respect to the benefits of owning Canoe Defensive security.
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