Aktien ESG Fund Forward View

0P0001EQ5U   157.40  0.91  0.58%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Aktien ESG Schweiz on the next trading day is expected to be 158.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.75 and the sum of the absolute errors of 45.98. Investors can use prediction functions to forecast Aktien ESG's fund prices and determine the direction of Aktien ESG Schweiz's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, exclusively looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. At this time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Aktien ESG's share price is at 54. This suggests that the fund is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Aktien ESG, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 54

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Aktien ESG's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Aktien ESG and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Aktien ESG's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Aktien ESG Schweiz, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Aktien ESG hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Aktien ESG Schweiz from the perspective of Aktien ESG response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Aktien ESG Schweiz on the next trading day is expected to be 158.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.75 and the sum of the absolute errors of 45.98.

Aktien ESG after-hype prediction price

    
  CHF 156.49  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any fund could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in inflation.

Aktien ESG Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Aktien price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Aktien using various technical indicators. When you analyze Aktien charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Aktien ESG is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Aktien ESG Schweiz value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Aktien ESG Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 28th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Aktien ESG Schweiz on the next trading day is expected to be 158.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.75, mean absolute percentage error of 0.85, and the sum of the absolute errors of 45.98.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Aktien Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Aktien ESG's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Aktien ESG Fund Forecast Pattern

Aktien ESG Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Aktien ESG's Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Aktien ESG's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 157.62 and 158.67, respectively. We have considered Aktien ESG's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
157.40
157.62
Downside
158.14
Expected Value
158.67
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Aktien ESG fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Aktien ESG fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.9462
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.7537
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0049
SAESum of the absolute errors45.9763
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Aktien ESG Schweiz. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Aktien ESG. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Aktien ESG

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aktien ESG Schweiz. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Aktien ESG Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

As far as predicting the price of Aktien ESG at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Aktien ESG or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Fund prices, such as prices of Aktien ESG, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Aktien ESG Fund Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Fund such as Aktien ESG is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Aktien ESG backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Aktien ESG, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.08 
0.53
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
157.40
156.49
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Aktien ESG Hype Timeline

Aktien ESG Schweiz is presently traded for 157.40on SIX Swiss Exchange of Switzerland. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Aktien is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.08%. %. The volatility of related hype on Aktien ESG is about 1855.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 157.40. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any fund could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in inflation.

Aktien ESG Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Aktien ESG's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Aktien ESG's future price movements. Getting to know how Aktien ESG's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Aktien ESG may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for Aktien ESG

For every potential investor in Aktien, whether a beginner or expert, Aktien ESG's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Aktien Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Aktien. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Aktien ESG's price trends.

Aktien ESG Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Aktien ESG fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Aktien ESG could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Aktien ESG by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Aktien ESG Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Aktien ESG fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Aktien ESG shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Aktien ESG fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Aktien ESG Schweiz entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Aktien ESG Risk Indicators

The analysis of Aktien ESG's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Aktien ESG's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting aktien fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Aktien ESG

The number of cover stories for Aktien ESG depends on current market conditions and Aktien ESG's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Aktien ESG is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Aktien ESG's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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