ABO Group Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

0QXA Stock   5.35  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of ABO Group Environment NV on the next trading day is expected to be 5.77 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.27. ABO Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of ABO Group's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of ABO Group's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of ABO Group and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from ABO Group's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with ABO Group Environment NV, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting ABO Group's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.72)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.177
Using ABO Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of ABO Group Environment NV from the perspective of ABO Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of ABO Group Environment NV on the next trading day is expected to be 5.77 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.27.

ABO Group after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 5.35  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in employment.

ABO Group Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine ABO price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for ABO using various technical indicators. When you analyze ABO charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for ABO Group is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of ABO Group Environment NV value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

ABO Group Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 22nd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of ABO Group Environment NV on the next trading day is expected to be 5.77 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18, mean absolute percentage error of 0.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.27.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict ABO Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that ABO Group's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

ABO Group Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest ABO GroupABO Group Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of ABO Group stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent ABO Group stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.1278
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.1847
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.034
SAESum of the absolute errors11.2663
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of ABO Group Environment NV. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict ABO Group. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for ABO Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ABO Group Environment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.065.357.64
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.134.426.71
Details

ABO Group Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with ABO Group stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of ABO Group could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ABO Group by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

ABO Group Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how ABO Group stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading ABO Group shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying ABO Group stock market strength indicators, traders can identify ABO Group Environment NV entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

ABO Group Risk Indicators

The analysis of ABO Group's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in ABO Group's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting abo stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for ABO Stock Analysis

When running ABO Group's price analysis, check to measure ABO Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ABO Group is operating at the current time. Most of ABO Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ABO Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ABO Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ABO Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.