Las Vegas Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

0QY4 Stock   51.11  0.96  1.91%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Las Vegas Sands on the next trading day is expected to be 50.91 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 64.43. Las Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
At this time, Las Vegas' Property Plant Equipment is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Other Liabilities is likely to gain to about 452.1 M in 2024, whereas Other Current Liabilities is likely to drop slightly above 1.8 B in 2024.
A naive forecasting model for Las Vegas is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Las Vegas Sands value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Las Vegas Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 27th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Las Vegas Sands on the next trading day is expected to be 50.91 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.04, mean absolute percentage error of 1.59, and the sum of the absolute errors of 64.43.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Las Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Las Vegas' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Las Vegas Stock Forecast Pattern

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Las Vegas Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Las Vegas' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Las Vegas' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 48.93 and 52.88, respectively. We have considered Las Vegas' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
51.11
50.91
Expected Value
52.88
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Las Vegas stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Las Vegas stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria120.4109
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.0392
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0217
SAESum of the absolute errors64.43
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Las Vegas Sands. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Las Vegas. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Las Vegas

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Las Vegas Sands. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
49.9351.9153.89
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
46.0057.6259.60
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
47.7349.5251.31
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Las Vegas

For every potential investor in Las, whether a beginner or expert, Las Vegas' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Las Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Las. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Las Vegas' price trends.

Las Vegas Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Las Vegas stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Las Vegas could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Las Vegas by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Las Vegas Sands Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Las Vegas' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Las Vegas' current price.

Las Vegas Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Las Vegas stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Las Vegas shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Las Vegas stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Las Vegas Sands entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Las Vegas Risk Indicators

The analysis of Las Vegas' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Las Vegas' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting las stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Las Stock Analysis

When running Las Vegas' price analysis, check to measure Las Vegas' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Las Vegas is operating at the current time. Most of Las Vegas' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Las Vegas' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Las Vegas' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Las Vegas to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.