Walmart Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

0R1W Stock   59.60  30.78  34.06%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Walmart on the next trading day is expected to be 59.60 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. Walmart Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
At this time, Walmart's Other Assets are comparatively stable compared to the past year. Other Current Assets is likely to gain to about 23.2 B in 2024, whereas Short and Long Term Debt Total is likely to drop slightly above 46.4 B in 2024.
A four-period moving average forecast model for Walmart is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Walmart 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 25th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Walmart on the next trading day is expected to be 59.60 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Walmart Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Walmart's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Walmart Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest WalmartWalmart Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Walmart Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Walmart's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Walmart's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 59.60 and 59.60, respectively. We have considered Walmart's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
59.60
59.60
Expected Value
59.60
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Walmart stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Walmart stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria-9.223372036854776E14
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Walmart. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Walmart and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Walmart

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Walmart. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
59.6059.6059.60
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
59.6059.6059.60
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
59.6059.6059.60
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Walmart

For every potential investor in Walmart, whether a beginner or expert, Walmart's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Walmart Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Walmart. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Walmart's price trends.

Walmart Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Walmart stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Walmart could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Walmart by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Walmart Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Walmart's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Walmart's current price.

Walmart Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Walmart stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Walmart shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Walmart stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Walmart entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Walmart Stock Analysis

When running Walmart's price analysis, check to measure Walmart's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Walmart is operating at the current time. Most of Walmart's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Walmart's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Walmart's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Walmart to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.