Granges AB Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| 0R9X Stock | 157.60 2.37 1.48% |
Granges Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of Granges AB's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.384 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.168 |
Using Granges AB hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Granges AB from the perspective of Granges AB response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Granges AB on the next trading day is expected to be 157.60 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.94 and the sum of the absolute errors of 114.17. Granges AB after-hype prediction price | SEK 157.46 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Granges |
Granges AB Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Granges price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Granges using various technical indicators. When you analyze Granges charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
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| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Granges AB Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 17th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Granges AB on the next trading day is expected to be 157.60 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.94, mean absolute percentage error of 6.08, and the sum of the absolute errors of 114.17.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Granges Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Granges AB's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Granges AB Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Granges AB | Granges AB Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Granges AB Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Granges AB's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Granges AB's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 156.18 and 159.02, respectively. We have considered Granges AB's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Granges AB stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Granges AB stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.24 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.5886 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.9352 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0131 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 114.175 |
Predictive Modules for Granges AB
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Granges AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Granges AB After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Granges AB at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Granges AB or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Granges AB, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Granges AB Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Granges AB's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Granges AB's historical news coverage. Granges AB's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 156.04 and 158.88, respectively. We have considered Granges AB's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Granges AB is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Granges AB is based on 3 months time horizon.
Granges AB Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Granges AB is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Granges AB backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Granges AB, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.29 | 1.42 | 0.14 | 0.03 | 2 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
157.60 | 157.46 | 0.09 |
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Granges AB Hype Timeline
Granges AB is presently traded for 157.60on London Exchange of UK. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.14, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. Granges is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 157.46. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.09%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.29%. The volatility of related hype on Granges AB is about 1197.3%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 157.63. About 71.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Granges AB had 1208:1071 split on the 24th of November 2020. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Granges AB to cross-verify your projections.Granges AB Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Granges AB's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Granges AB's future price movements. Getting to know how Granges AB's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Granges AB may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| HAYD | Haydale Graphene Industries | 0.05 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 6.12 | (7.69) | 31.67 | |
| QBT | Quantum Blockchain Technologies | 0.00 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 4.17 | (7.02) | 29.52 | |
| CHLL | Chill Brands Group | 0.00 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 4.65 | (10.20) | 41.67 | |
| VRS | Versarien PLC | 0 | 5 per month | 3.66 | (0) | 0.00 | (5.00) | 42.86 | |
| MLVN | Malvern International | 0.54 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.30) | 0.00 | (1.92) | 3.92 |
Other Forecasting Options for Granges AB
For every potential investor in Granges, whether a beginner or expert, Granges AB's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Granges Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Granges. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Granges AB's price trends.Granges AB Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Granges AB stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Granges AB could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Granges AB by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Granges AB Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Granges AB stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Granges AB shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Granges AB stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Granges AB entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Granges AB Risk Indicators
The analysis of Granges AB's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Granges AB's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting granges stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.08 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.04 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.45 | |||
| Variance | 2.11 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.83 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.08 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.19) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Granges AB
The number of cover stories for Granges AB depends on current market conditions and Granges AB's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Granges AB is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Granges AB's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Tools for Granges Stock Analysis
When running Granges AB's price analysis, check to measure Granges AB's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Granges AB is operating at the current time. Most of Granges AB's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Granges AB's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Granges AB's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Granges AB to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.