Toronto Dominion Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

0VL8 Stock   129.60  0.69  0.53%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Toronto Dominion Bank on the next trading day is expected to be 130.37 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.41 and the sum of the absolute errors of 147.04. Toronto Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of Toronto Dominion's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Toronto Dominion's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Toronto Dominion and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Toronto Dominion's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Toronto Dominion Bank, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Toronto Dominion's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.08)
Wall Street Target Price
93.52
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
1.94
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.01)
Using Toronto Dominion hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Toronto Dominion Bank from the perspective of Toronto Dominion response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Toronto Dominion Bank on the next trading day is expected to be 130.37 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.41 and the sum of the absolute errors of 147.04.

Toronto Dominion after-hype prediction price

    
  CAD 130.28  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Toronto Dominion to cross-verify your projections.
At this time, Toronto Dominion's Total Current Liabilities is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Other Assets is likely to gain to about 1.3 T in 2026, whereas Total Stockholder Equity is likely to drop slightly above 93.7 B in 2026.

Toronto Dominion Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Toronto price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Toronto using various technical indicators. When you analyze Toronto charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Toronto Dominion price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Toronto Dominion Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 14th of January 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Toronto Dominion Bank on the next trading day is expected to be 130.37 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.41, mean absolute percentage error of 7.95, and the sum of the absolute errors of 147.04.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Toronto Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Toronto Dominion's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Toronto Dominion Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Toronto DominionToronto Dominion Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Toronto Dominion Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Toronto Dominion's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Toronto Dominion's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 129.28 and 131.47, respectively. We have considered Toronto Dominion's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
129.60
129.28
Downside
130.37
Expected Value
131.47
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Toronto Dominion stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Toronto Dominion stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria120.1836
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation2.4105
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0222
SAESum of the absolute errors147.0402
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Toronto Dominion Bank historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Toronto Dominion

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Toronto Dominion Bank. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
129.19130.28131.37
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
116.64140.99142.08
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.841.932.00
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Toronto Dominion

For every potential investor in Toronto, whether a beginner or expert, Toronto Dominion's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Toronto Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Toronto. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Toronto Dominion's price trends.

Toronto Dominion Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Toronto Dominion stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Toronto Dominion could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Toronto Dominion by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Toronto Dominion Bank Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Toronto Dominion's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Toronto Dominion's current price.

Toronto Dominion Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Toronto Dominion stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Toronto Dominion shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Toronto Dominion stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Toronto Dominion Bank entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Toronto Dominion Risk Indicators

The analysis of Toronto Dominion's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Toronto Dominion's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting toronto stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Toronto Stock Analysis

When running Toronto Dominion's price analysis, check to measure Toronto Dominion's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Toronto Dominion is operating at the current time. Most of Toronto Dominion's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Toronto Dominion's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Toronto Dominion's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Toronto Dominion to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.