WPP SP Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

0WPA Stock  EUR 51.00  0.50  0.99%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of WPP SP ADR on the next trading day is expected to be 51.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.22 and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.30. WPP Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
WPP SP simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for WPP SP ADR are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as WPP SP ADR prices get older.

WPP SP Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 2nd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of WPP SP ADR on the next trading day is expected to be 51.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.22, mean absolute percentage error of 0.27, and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.30.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict WPP Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that WPP SP's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

WPP SP Stock Forecast Pattern

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WPP SP Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting WPP SP's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. WPP SP's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 49.97 and 52.03, respectively. We have considered WPP SP's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
51.00
51.00
Expected Value
52.03
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of WPP SP stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent WPP SP stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.9533
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.1383
MADMean absolute deviation0.2217
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0046
SAESum of the absolute errors13.3
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting WPP SP ADR forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent WPP SP observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for WPP SP

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as WPP SP ADR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
49.9751.0052.03
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
45.9057.8858.91
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
48.9850.1051.22
Details

Other Forecasting Options for WPP SP

For every potential investor in WPP, whether a beginner or expert, WPP SP's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. WPP Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in WPP. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying WPP SP's price trends.

WPP SP Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with WPP SP stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of WPP SP could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing WPP SP by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

WPP SP ADR Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of WPP SP's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of WPP SP's current price.

WPP SP Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how WPP SP stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading WPP SP shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying WPP SP stock market strength indicators, traders can identify WPP SP ADR entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

WPP SP Risk Indicators

The analysis of WPP SP's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in WPP SP's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting wpp stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Additional Tools for WPP Stock Analysis

When running WPP SP's price analysis, check to measure WPP SP's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy WPP SP is operating at the current time. Most of WPP SP's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of WPP SP's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move WPP SP's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of WPP SP to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.