Asia Cement Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| 1102 Stock | TWD 34.30 0.15 0.44% |
Asia Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the value of rsi of Asia Cement's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 1
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Asia Cement hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Asia Cement Corp from the perspective of Asia Cement response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Asia Cement Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 34.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.30 and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.75. Asia Cement after-hype prediction price | TWD 34.3 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Asia |
Asia Cement Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Asia price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Asia using various technical indicators. When you analyze Asia charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Asia Cement Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 6th of March
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Asia Cement Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 34.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.30, mean absolute percentage error of 0.17, and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.75.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Asia Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Asia Cement's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Asia Cement Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Asia Cement | Asia Cement Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Asia Cement Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Asia Cement's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Asia Cement's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 33.17 and 35.43, respectively. We have considered Asia Cement's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Asia Cement stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Asia Cement stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.4726 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0758 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2958 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0081 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 17.75 |
Predictive Modules for Asia Cement
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Asia Cement Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Asia Cement After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Asia Cement at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Asia Cement or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Asia Cement, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Asia Cement Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Asia Cement's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Asia Cement's historical news coverage. Asia Cement's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 33.17 and 35.43, respectively. We have considered Asia Cement's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Asia Cement is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Asia Cement Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Asia Cement Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Asia Cement is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Asia Cement backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Asia Cement, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.19 | 1.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
34.30 | 34.30 | 0.00 |
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Asia Cement Hype Timeline
Asia Cement Corp is presently traded for 34.30on Taiwan Stock Exchange of Taiwan. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Asia is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.19%. %. The volatility of related hype on Asia Cement is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 34.30. About 33.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The company has Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 1.11. In the past many companies with similar price-to-book ratios have beat the market. Asia Cement Corp has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.89. The entity last dividend was issued on the 28th of July 2022. The firm had 1020:1000 split on the 28th of August 2014. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Asia Cement to cross-verify your projections.Asia Cement Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Asia Cement's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Asia Cement's future price movements. Getting to know how Asia Cement's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Asia Cement may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 6127 | Leatec Fine Ceramics | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.13 | 0.08 | 9.94 | (4.62) | 17.37 | |
| 6209 | Kinko Optical Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 6.86 | (5.77) | 18.33 | |
| 1777 | SYN Tech Chem Pharm | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 1.10 | (1.42) | 3.03 | |
| 5236 | Sunplus Innovation Technology | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.60 | 0.03 | 2.58 | (2.90) | 7.15 | |
| 6606 | Kent Industrial Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.63 | (0.01) | 1.72 | (0.99) | 5.65 | |
| 3073 | Teamphon Energy Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.87 | 0.01 | 9.96 | (5.44) | 19.16 | |
| 2485 | Zinwell | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.30 | 0.32 | 10.00 | (6.17) | 19.99 | |
| 2412 | Chunghwa Telecom Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.47 | 0.02 | 1.15 | (0.76) | 2.99 | |
| 00923 | Capital Tip Customized | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.11 | 0.21 | 2.81 | (1.72) | 6.43 | |
| 4714 | U Best Polymer Industry | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 3.90 | (3.11) | 9.75 |
Other Forecasting Options for Asia Cement
For every potential investor in Asia, whether a beginner or expert, Asia Cement's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Asia Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Asia. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Asia Cement's price trends.Asia Cement Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Asia Cement stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Asia Cement could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Asia Cement by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Asia Cement Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Asia Cement stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Asia Cement shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Asia Cement stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Asia Cement Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 159986.0 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.23) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 34.58 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 34.48 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.35) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.15) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 1.14 |
Asia Cement Risk Indicators
The analysis of Asia Cement's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Asia Cement's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting asia stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.8455 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.15 | |||
| Variance | 1.32 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Asia Cement
The number of cover stories for Asia Cement depends on current market conditions and Asia Cement's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Asia Cement is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Asia Cement's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Tools for Asia Stock Analysis
When running Asia Cement's price analysis, check to measure Asia Cement's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Asia Cement is operating at the current time. Most of Asia Cement's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Asia Cement's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Asia Cement's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Asia Cement to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.