JNK Heaters Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

126880 Stock   3,635  5.00  0.14%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of JNK Heaters Co on the next trading day is expected to be 3,628 with a mean absolute deviation of 96.16 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5,481. JNK Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast JNK Heaters stock prices and determine the direction of JNK Heaters Co's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of JNK Heaters' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A four-period moving average forecast model for JNK Heaters Co is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

JNK Heaters 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 19th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of JNK Heaters Co on the next trading day is expected to be 3,628 with a mean absolute deviation of 96.16, mean absolute percentage error of 18,031, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5,481.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict JNK Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that JNK Heaters' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

JNK Heaters Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest JNK HeatersJNK Heaters Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

JNK Heaters Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting JNK Heaters' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. JNK Heaters' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 3,625 and 3,630, respectively. We have considered JNK Heaters' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
3,635
3,628
Expected Value
3,630
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of JNK Heaters stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent JNK Heaters stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria120.5589
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 6.1184
MADMean absolute deviation96.1623
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0281
SAESum of the absolute errors5481.25
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of JNK Heaters. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for JNK Heaters Co and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for JNK Heaters

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as JNK Heaters. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3,6323,6353,638
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2,9482,9503,998
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as JNK Heaters. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against JNK Heaters' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, JNK Heaters' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in JNK Heaters.

Other Forecasting Options for JNK Heaters

For every potential investor in JNK, whether a beginner or expert, JNK Heaters' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. JNK Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in JNK. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying JNK Heaters' price trends.

JNK Heaters Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with JNK Heaters stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of JNK Heaters could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing JNK Heaters by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

JNK Heaters Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of JNK Heaters' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of JNK Heaters' current price.

JNK Heaters Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how JNK Heaters stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading JNK Heaters shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying JNK Heaters stock market strength indicators, traders can identify JNK Heaters Co entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

JNK Heaters Risk Indicators

The analysis of JNK Heaters' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in JNK Heaters' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting jnk stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with JNK Heaters

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if JNK Heaters position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in JNK Heaters will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with JNK Stock

  0.77000660 SK Hynix Earnings Call This WeekPairCorr
  0.64034730 SK HoldingsPairCorr

Moving against JNK Stock

  0.47402030 Konan TechnologyPairCorr
  0.45035900 JYP Entertainment CorpPairCorr
  0.44035900 JYP EntertainmentPairCorr
  0.43083650 BHI CoPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to JNK Heaters could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace JNK Heaters when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back JNK Heaters - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling JNK Heaters Co to buy it.
The correlation of JNK Heaters is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as JNK Heaters moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if JNK Heaters moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for JNK Heaters can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in JNK Stock

JNK Heaters financial ratios help investors to determine whether JNK Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in JNK with respect to the benefits of owning JNK Heaters security.