Grand Pacific Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| 1312A Stock | TWD 23.40 0.20 0.86% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Grand Pacific Petrochemical on the next trading day is expected to be 23.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.55. Grand Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
Grand |
Grand Pacific Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 1st of December
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Grand Pacific Petrochemical on the next trading day is expected to be 23.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12, mean absolute percentage error of 0.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.55.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Grand Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Grand Pacific's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Grand Pacific Stock Forecast Pattern
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Grand Pacific Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Grand Pacific's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Grand Pacific's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 22.44 and 24.36, respectively. We have considered Grand Pacific's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Grand Pacific stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Grand Pacific stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.1041 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0041 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1238 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0052 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 7.55 |
Predictive Modules for Grand Pacific
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Grand Pacific Petroc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Grand Pacific
For every potential investor in Grand, whether a beginner or expert, Grand Pacific's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Grand Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Grand. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Grand Pacific's price trends.Grand Pacific Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Grand Pacific stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Grand Pacific could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Grand Pacific by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Grand Pacific Petroc Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Grand Pacific's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Grand Pacific's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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Grand Pacific Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Grand Pacific stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Grand Pacific shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Grand Pacific stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Grand Pacific Petrochemical entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Grand Pacific Risk Indicators
The analysis of Grand Pacific's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Grand Pacific's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting grand stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.5167 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.9369 | |||
| Variance | 0.8777 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Additional Tools for Grand Stock Analysis
When running Grand Pacific's price analysis, check to measure Grand Pacific's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Grand Pacific is operating at the current time. Most of Grand Pacific's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Grand Pacific's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Grand Pacific's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Grand Pacific to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.