Solytech Enterprise Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

1471 Stock  TWD 9.60  0.87  9.97%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Solytech Enterprise Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 9.60 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.38. Solytech Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the value of rsi of Solytech Enterprise's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Solytech Enterprise's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Solytech Enterprise and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Solytech Enterprise's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Solytech Enterprise Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Solytech Enterprise hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Solytech Enterprise Corp from the perspective of Solytech Enterprise response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Solytech Enterprise Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 9.60 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.38.

Solytech Enterprise after-hype prediction price

    
  TWD 8.73  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Solytech Enterprise to cross-verify your projections.

Solytech Enterprise Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Solytech price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Solytech using various technical indicators. When you analyze Solytech charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Solytech Enterprise simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Solytech Enterprise Corp are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Solytech Enterprise Corp prices get older.

Solytech Enterprise Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 8th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Solytech Enterprise Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 9.60 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.38.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Solytech Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Solytech Enterprise's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Solytech Enterprise Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Solytech EnterpriseSolytech Enterprise Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Solytech Enterprise Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Solytech Enterprise's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Solytech Enterprise's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 8.15 and 11.05, respectively. We have considered Solytech Enterprise's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
9.60
9.60
Expected Value
11.05
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Solytech Enterprise stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Solytech Enterprise stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria112.7248
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0037
MADMean absolute deviation0.1063
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0119
SAESum of the absolute errors6.38
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Solytech Enterprise Corp forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Solytech Enterprise observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Solytech Enterprise

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Solytech Enterprise Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.288.7310.18
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.928.379.82
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Solytech Enterprise

For every potential investor in Solytech, whether a beginner or expert, Solytech Enterprise's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Solytech Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Solytech. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Solytech Enterprise's price trends.

Solytech Enterprise Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Solytech Enterprise stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Solytech Enterprise could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Solytech Enterprise by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Solytech Enterprise Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Solytech Enterprise's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Solytech Enterprise's current price.

Solytech Enterprise Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Solytech Enterprise stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Solytech Enterprise shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Solytech Enterprise stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Solytech Enterprise Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Solytech Enterprise Risk Indicators

The analysis of Solytech Enterprise's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Solytech Enterprise's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting solytech stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Solytech Stock Analysis

When running Solytech Enterprise's price analysis, check to measure Solytech Enterprise's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Solytech Enterprise is operating at the current time. Most of Solytech Enterprise's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Solytech Enterprise's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Solytech Enterprise's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Solytech Enterprise to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.