1414 Degrees Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

14D Stock   0.04  0  7.14%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of 1414 Degrees on the next trading day is expected to be 0.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.1. 1414 Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
At this time, 1414 Degrees' Short and Long Term Debt Total is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Other Liabilities is likely to gain to about 37.7 K in 2024, whereas Total Stockholder Equity is likely to drop slightly above 5.7 M in 2024.
Triple exponential smoothing for 1414 Degrees - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When 1414 Degrees prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in 1414 Degrees price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of 1414 Degrees.

1414 Degrees Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 3rd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of 1414 Degrees on the next trading day is expected to be 0.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00000588, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.1.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict 1414 Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that 1414 Degrees' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

1414 Degrees Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest 1414 Degrees1414 Degrees Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

1414 Degrees Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting 1414 Degrees' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. 1414 Degrees' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0004 and 3.99, respectively. We have considered 1414 Degrees' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.04
0.0004
Downside
0.04
Expected Value
3.99
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of 1414 Degrees stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent 1414 Degrees stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 4.0E-4
MADMean absolute deviation0.0017
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0315
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0999
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past 1414 Degrees observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older 1414 Degrees observations.

Predictive Modules for 1414 Degrees

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as 1414 Degrees. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.044.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.044.00
Details

Other Forecasting Options for 1414 Degrees

For every potential investor in 1414, whether a beginner or expert, 1414 Degrees' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. 1414 Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in 1414. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying 1414 Degrees' price trends.

1414 Degrees Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with 1414 Degrees stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of 1414 Degrees could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing 1414 Degrees by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

1414 Degrees Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of 1414 Degrees' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of 1414 Degrees' current price.

1414 Degrees Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how 1414 Degrees stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading 1414 Degrees shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying 1414 Degrees stock market strength indicators, traders can identify 1414 Degrees entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

1414 Degrees Risk Indicators

The analysis of 1414 Degrees' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in 1414 Degrees' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting 1414 stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
Explore Investing Ideas  

Additional Tools for 1414 Stock Analysis

When running 1414 Degrees' price analysis, check to measure 1414 Degrees' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy 1414 Degrees is operating at the current time. Most of 1414 Degrees' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of 1414 Degrees' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move 1414 Degrees' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of 1414 Degrees to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.