Airmate Cayman Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

1626 Stock  TWD 10.95  0.10  0.90%   
Airmate Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the value of RSI of Airmate Cayman's share price is approaching 35. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Airmate Cayman, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 35

 Sell Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Airmate Cayman's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Airmate Cayman and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Airmate Cayman's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Airmate Cayman International, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Airmate Cayman hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Airmate Cayman International from the perspective of Airmate Cayman response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Airmate Cayman International on the next trading day is expected to be 10.95 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.40.

Airmate Cayman after-hype prediction price

    
  TWD 10.95  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Airmate Cayman to cross-verify your projections.

Airmate Cayman Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Airmate price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Airmate using various technical indicators. When you analyze Airmate charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A two period moving average forecast for Airmate Cayman is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Airmate Cayman Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 27th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Airmate Cayman International on the next trading day is expected to be 10.95 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.40.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Airmate Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Airmate Cayman's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Airmate Cayman Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Airmate Cayman  Airmate Cayman Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Airmate Cayman Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Airmate Cayman's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Airmate Cayman's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 9.53 and 12.37, respectively. We have considered Airmate Cayman's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
10.95
10.95
Expected Value
12.37
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Airmate Cayman stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Airmate Cayman stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria110.605
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0458
MADMean absolute deviation0.1085
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0092
SAESum of the absolute errors6.4
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Airmate Cayman International price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Airmate Cayman. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Airmate Cayman

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Airmate Cayman Inter. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.5310.9512.37
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.509.9211.34
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
10.7811.1111.44
Details

Airmate Cayman After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Airmate Cayman at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Airmate Cayman or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Airmate Cayman, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Airmate Cayman Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Airmate Cayman's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Airmate Cayman's historical news coverage. Airmate Cayman's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 9.53 and 12.37, respectively. We have considered Airmate Cayman's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
10.95
10.95
After-hype Price
12.37
Upside
Airmate Cayman is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Airmate Cayman Inter is based on 3 months time horizon.

Airmate Cayman Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Airmate Cayman is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Airmate Cayman backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Airmate Cayman, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.09 
1.42
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
10.95
10.95
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Airmate Cayman Hype Timeline

Airmate Cayman Inter is presently traded for 10.95on Taiwan Stock Exchange of Taiwan. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Airmate is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.09%. %. The volatility of related hype on Airmate Cayman is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 10.95. About 44.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The company has Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 0.74. In the past many companies with similar price-to-book ratios have beat the market. Airmate Cayman Inter last dividend was issued on the 15th of September 2021. The entity had 1000:1050 split on the 5th of September 2023. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Airmate Cayman to cross-verify your projections.

Airmate Cayman Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Airmate Cayman's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Airmate Cayman's future price movements. Getting to know how Airmate Cayman's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Airmate Cayman may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
4930Star Comgistic Capital 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.16) 1.10 (1.32) 4.33 
4950Golden Win International 0.00 0 per month 2.26  0.09  4.99 (5.98) 171.69 
1432Trk Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.95 (0.0002) 1.67 (1.10) 13.28 
2712FarGlory Hotel Co 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.20) 2.08 (1.91) 4.91 
4581World Known MFG 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.12) 0.98 (1.66) 6.00 
1445Universal Textile Co 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.05) 2.86 (2.40) 6.43 
5906Taiwan EnterpriseCo 0.00 0 per month 1.41 (0.01) 2.66 (2.11) 15.58 
9944Shinih Enterprise Co 0.00 0 per month 0.53 (0.12) 0.90 (1.18) 2.68 
2702Hotel Holiday Garden 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.11) 1.26 (1.28) 4.26 
7731MARX Biotech Co 0.00 0 per month 1.93  0.12  5.61 (4.14) 26.36 

Other Forecasting Options for Airmate Cayman

For every potential investor in Airmate, whether a beginner or expert, Airmate Cayman's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Airmate Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Airmate. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Airmate Cayman's price trends.

Airmate Cayman Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Airmate Cayman stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Airmate Cayman could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Airmate Cayman by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Airmate Cayman Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Airmate Cayman stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Airmate Cayman shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Airmate Cayman stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Airmate Cayman International entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Airmate Cayman Risk Indicators

The analysis of Airmate Cayman's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Airmate Cayman's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting airmate stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Airmate Cayman

The number of cover stories for Airmate Cayman depends on current market conditions and Airmate Cayman's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Airmate Cayman is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Airmate Cayman's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Additional Tools for Airmate Stock Analysis

When running Airmate Cayman's price analysis, check to measure Airmate Cayman's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Airmate Cayman is operating at the current time. Most of Airmate Cayman's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Airmate Cayman's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Airmate Cayman's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Airmate Cayman to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.