Aeroporto Guglielmo Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| 169 Stock | EUR 11.60 0.20 1.75% |
Aeroporto Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Aeroporto Guglielmo's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength indicator of Aeroporto Guglielmo's stock price is roughly 69. This suggests that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of 26th of February 2026. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Aeroporto, making its price go up or down. Momentum 69
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Aeroporto Guglielmo hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Aeroporto Guglielmo Marconi from the perspective of Aeroporto Guglielmo response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Aeroporto Guglielmo Marconi on the next trading day is expected to be 11.57 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.46. Aeroporto Guglielmo after-hype prediction price | EUR 11.6 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Aeroporto |
Aeroporto Guglielmo Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Aeroporto price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Aeroporto using various technical indicators. When you analyze Aeroporto charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Aeroporto Guglielmo Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 27th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Aeroporto Guglielmo Marconi on the next trading day is expected to be 11.57 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19, mean absolute percentage error of 0.06, and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.46.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Aeroporto Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Aeroporto Guglielmo's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Aeroporto Guglielmo Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Aeroporto Guglielmo | Aeroporto Guglielmo Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Aeroporto Guglielmo Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Aeroporto Guglielmo's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Aeroporto Guglielmo's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 9.09 and 14.05, respectively. We have considered Aeroporto Guglielmo's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Aeroporto Guglielmo stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Aeroporto Guglielmo stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.5174 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0515 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.191 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0183 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 11.4573 |
Predictive Modules for Aeroporto Guglielmo
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aeroporto Guglielmo. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Aeroporto Guglielmo After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Aeroporto Guglielmo at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Aeroporto Guglielmo or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Aeroporto Guglielmo, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Aeroporto Guglielmo Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Aeroporto Guglielmo's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Aeroporto Guglielmo's historical news coverage. Aeroporto Guglielmo's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 9.12 and 14.08, respectively. We have considered Aeroporto Guglielmo's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Aeroporto Guglielmo is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Aeroporto Guglielmo is based on 3 months time horizon.
Aeroporto Guglielmo Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Aeroporto Guglielmo is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Aeroporto Guglielmo backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Aeroporto Guglielmo, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.44 | 2.48 | 0.00 | 0.11 | 0 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
11.60 | 11.60 | 0.00 |
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Aeroporto Guglielmo Hype Timeline
Aeroporto Guglielmo is presently traded for 11.60on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.11. Aeroporto is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.44%. %. The volatility of related hype on Aeroporto Guglielmo is about 959.12%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 11.49. About 50.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The company has Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 1.51. In the past many companies with similar price-to-book ratios have beat the market. Aeroporto Guglielmo last dividend was issued on the 12th of May 2025. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Aeroporto Guglielmo to cross-verify your projections.Aeroporto Guglielmo Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Aeroporto Guglielmo's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Aeroporto Guglielmo's future price movements. Getting to know how Aeroporto Guglielmo's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Aeroporto Guglielmo may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DDX | WESANA HEALTH HOLD | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| 7QD | CLOVER HEALTH INV | (0.02) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 5.95 | (5.46) | 16.66 | |
| BAK | BANKINTER ADR 2007 | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.50 | 0.04 | 2.92 | (2.86) | 7.80 | |
| AON | Aozora Bank | (0.20) | 3 per month | 1.19 | 0.11 | 3.34 | (2.00) | 11.31 | |
| BOZA | PT Bank Maybank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.04 | 0.01 | 5.00 | (5.00) | 18.90 | |
| 71F | VIRG NATL BANKSH | (1.79) | 2 per month | 3.32 | (0.01) | 5.76 | (5.32) | 19.49 | |
| NB9 | National Bank Holdings | 0.20 | 9 per month | 1.69 | 0.03 | 3.66 | (2.35) | 11.17 |
Other Forecasting Options for Aeroporto Guglielmo
For every potential investor in Aeroporto, whether a beginner or expert, Aeroporto Guglielmo's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Aeroporto Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Aeroporto. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Aeroporto Guglielmo's price trends.Aeroporto Guglielmo Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Aeroporto Guglielmo stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Aeroporto Guglielmo could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Aeroporto Guglielmo by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Aeroporto Guglielmo Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Aeroporto Guglielmo stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Aeroporto Guglielmo shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Aeroporto Guglielmo stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Aeroporto Guglielmo Marconi entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.02 | |||
| Day Median Price | 11.6 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 11.6 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.1 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.2 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 69.93 |
Aeroporto Guglielmo Risk Indicators
The analysis of Aeroporto Guglielmo's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Aeroporto Guglielmo's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting aeroporto stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.84 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.48 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.48 | |||
| Variance | 6.15 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.32 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.18 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.27) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Aeroporto Guglielmo
The number of cover stories for Aeroporto Guglielmo depends on current market conditions and Aeroporto Guglielmo's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Aeroporto Guglielmo is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Aeroporto Guglielmo's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Aeroporto Stock
Aeroporto Guglielmo financial ratios help investors to determine whether Aeroporto Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Aeroporto with respect to the benefits of owning Aeroporto Guglielmo security.