Hyundai Industrial Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

170030 Stock  KRW 5,090  90.00  1.74%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Hyundai Industrial Co on the next trading day is expected to be 4,951 with a mean absolute deviation of 100.23 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6,114. Hyundai Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Hyundai Industrial stock prices and determine the direction of Hyundai Industrial Co's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Hyundai Industrial's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Hyundai Industrial price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Hyundai Industrial Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 28th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Hyundai Industrial Co on the next trading day is expected to be 4,951 with a mean absolute deviation of 100.23, mean absolute percentage error of 14,845, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6,114.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Hyundai Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Hyundai Industrial's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Hyundai Industrial Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Hyundai IndustrialHyundai Industrial Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Hyundai Industrial Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Hyundai Industrial's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Hyundai Industrial's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 4,949 and 4,953, respectively. We have considered Hyundai Industrial's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
5,090
4,951
Expected Value
4,953
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Hyundai Industrial stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Hyundai Industrial stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria127.7159
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation100.23
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0183
SAESum of the absolute errors6114.0312
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Hyundai Industrial Co historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Hyundai Industrial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hyundai Industrial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5,1785,1805,182
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4,5164,5185,698
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
4,9285,1935,458
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Hyundai Industrial. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Hyundai Industrial's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Hyundai Industrial's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Hyundai Industrial.

Other Forecasting Options for Hyundai Industrial

For every potential investor in Hyundai, whether a beginner or expert, Hyundai Industrial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Hyundai Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Hyundai. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Hyundai Industrial's price trends.

Hyundai Industrial Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Hyundai Industrial stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Hyundai Industrial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Hyundai Industrial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Hyundai Industrial Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Hyundai Industrial's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Hyundai Industrial's current price.

Hyundai Industrial Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Hyundai Industrial stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Hyundai Industrial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Hyundai Industrial stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Hyundai Industrial Co entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Hyundai Industrial Risk Indicators

The analysis of Hyundai Industrial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Hyundai Industrial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting hyundai stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Hyundai Industrial

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Hyundai Industrial position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Hyundai Industrial will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Hyundai Stock

  0.68302440 SK BiosciencePairCorr
  0.87054180 MEDICOXPairCorr

Moving against Hyundai Stock

  0.75317530 CarriesoftPairCorr
  0.67088130 Dong A Eltek SplitPairCorr
  0.42058400 Korea New NetworkPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Hyundai Industrial could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Hyundai Industrial when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Hyundai Industrial - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Hyundai Industrial Co to buy it.
The correlation of Hyundai Industrial is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Hyundai Industrial moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Hyundai Industrial moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Hyundai Industrial can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in Hyundai Stock

Hyundai Industrial financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hyundai Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hyundai with respect to the benefits of owning Hyundai Industrial security.