Yiren Digital Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| 19YA Stock | EUR 3.14 0.04 1.29% |
Yiren Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Yiren Digital's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 23rd of February 2026, the relative strength indicator of Yiren Digital's share price is approaching 43. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Yiren Digital, making its price go up or down. Momentum 43
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.10) | Wall Street Target Price 3.27 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.051 |
Using Yiren Digital hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Yiren Digital from the perspective of Yiren Digital response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Yiren Digital on the next trading day is expected to be 3.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.58. Yiren Digital after-hype prediction price | EUR 3.15 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Yiren |
Yiren Digital Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Yiren price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Yiren using various technical indicators. When you analyze Yiren charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Yiren Digital Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Yiren Digital on the next trading day is expected to be 3.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.58.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Yiren Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Yiren Digital's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Yiren Digital Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Yiren Digital | Yiren Digital Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Yiren Digital Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Yiren Digital's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Yiren Digital's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.18 and 6.10, respectively. We have considered Yiren Digital's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Yiren Digital stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Yiren Digital stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 111.7301 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0123 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0763 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0224 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 4.58 |
Predictive Modules for Yiren Digital
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Yiren Digital. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Yiren Digital After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Yiren Digital at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Yiren Digital or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Yiren Digital, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Yiren Digital Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Yiren Digital's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Yiren Digital's historical news coverage. Yiren Digital's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.19 and 6.11, respectively. We have considered Yiren Digital's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Yiren Digital is relatively risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Yiren Digital is based on 3 months time horizon.
Yiren Digital Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Yiren Digital is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Yiren Digital backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Yiren Digital, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.30 | 2.96 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 6 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
3.14 | 3.15 | 0.32 |
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Yiren Digital Hype Timeline
Yiren Digital is presently traded for 3.14on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Yiren is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 3.15 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price rise on the next news is forecasted to be 0.32%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.3%. The volatility of related hype on Yiren Digital is about 5985.84%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.15. The company reported the revenue of 5.81 B. Net Income was 1.58 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 5.48 B. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Yiren Digital to cross-verify your projections.Yiren Digital Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Yiren Digital's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Yiren Digital's future price movements. Getting to know how Yiren Digital's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Yiren Digital may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 0S6 | Cerence | 0.51 | 5 per month | 4.68 | 0.01 | 8.78 | (6.67) | 51.37 | |
| TLIK | TELES Informationstechnologien AG | 0.00 | 2 per month | 14.64 | 0.12 | 28.57 | (31.58) | 202.56 | |
| BT3 | BIOTIME | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 4.26 | (4.90) | 13.56 | |
| MS9 | PT MNC Sky | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| IB5A | I CABLE M | (0) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.26) | 0.00 | (4.55) | 15.79 | |
| MBJ | MBIA | 0.00 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 3.20 | (3.77) | 11.12 | |
| MBJ | MBIA Inc | 0.00 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.36 | (3.03) | 12.66 | |
| TZO | Tsodilo Resources Limited | (0.01) | 1 per month | 10.53 | 0.10 | 24.38 | (22.42) | 90.14 | |
| AJW | ANGES MG | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.34) | 0.00 | (2.94) | 6.16 | |
| 9R5 | Spermosens AB | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.23 | 400.00 | (71.43) | 833.33 |
Other Forecasting Options for Yiren Digital
For every potential investor in Yiren, whether a beginner or expert, Yiren Digital's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Yiren Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Yiren. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Yiren Digital's price trends.Yiren Digital Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Yiren Digital stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Yiren Digital could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Yiren Digital by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Yiren Digital Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Yiren Digital stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Yiren Digital shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Yiren Digital stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Yiren Digital entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
| Day Median Price | 3.14 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 3.14 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.02 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.04 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 43.71 |
Yiren Digital Risk Indicators
The analysis of Yiren Digital's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Yiren Digital's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting yiren stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.17 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.9 | |||
| Variance | 8.39 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Yiren Digital
The number of cover stories for Yiren Digital depends on current market conditions and Yiren Digital's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Yiren Digital is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Yiren Digital's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Yiren Stock
Yiren Digital financial ratios help investors to determine whether Yiren Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Yiren with respect to the benefits of owning Yiren Digital security.