Boyaa Interactive Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

1BY Stock  EUR 0.53  0.01  1.92%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Boyaa Interactive International on the next trading day is expected to be 0.60 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.60. Boyaa Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Boyaa Interactive's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A naive forecasting model for Boyaa Interactive is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Boyaa Interactive International value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Boyaa Interactive Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 25th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Boyaa Interactive International on the next trading day is expected to be 0.60 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0002, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.60.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Boyaa Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Boyaa Interactive's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Boyaa Interactive Stock Forecast Pattern

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Boyaa Interactive Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Boyaa Interactive's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Boyaa Interactive's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 7.52, respectively. We have considered Boyaa Interactive's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.53
0.60
Expected Value
7.52
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Boyaa Interactive stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Boyaa Interactive stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria109.4974
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0098
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0414
SAESum of the absolute errors0.596
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Boyaa Interactive International. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Boyaa Interactive. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Boyaa Interactive

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Boyaa Interactive. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.030.537.45
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.447.36
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Boyaa Interactive

For every potential investor in Boyaa, whether a beginner or expert, Boyaa Interactive's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Boyaa Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Boyaa. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Boyaa Interactive's price trends.

Boyaa Interactive Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Boyaa Interactive stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Boyaa Interactive could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Boyaa Interactive by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Boyaa Interactive Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Boyaa Interactive's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Boyaa Interactive's current price.

Boyaa Interactive Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Boyaa Interactive stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Boyaa Interactive shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Boyaa Interactive stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Boyaa Interactive International entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Boyaa Interactive Risk Indicators

The analysis of Boyaa Interactive's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Boyaa Interactive's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting boyaa stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Boyaa Stock

Boyaa Interactive financial ratios help investors to determine whether Boyaa Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Boyaa with respect to the benefits of owning Boyaa Interactive security.