CCL Industries Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

1C9 Stock  EUR 52.00  0.50  0.97%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of CCL Industries on the next trading day is expected to be 52.90 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.89 and the sum of the absolute errors of 36.41. CCL Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of CCL Industries' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for CCL Industries is based on a synthetically constructed CCL Industriesdaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

CCL Industries 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 3rd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of CCL Industries on the next trading day is expected to be 52.90 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.89, mean absolute percentage error of 1.18, and the sum of the absolute errors of 36.41.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict CCL Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that CCL Industries' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

CCL Industries Stock Forecast Pattern

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CCL Industries Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting CCL Industries' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. CCL Industries' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 51.69 and 54.11, respectively. We have considered CCL Industries' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
52.00
52.90
Expected Value
54.11
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of CCL Industries stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent CCL Industries stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria81.5165
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.3502
MADMean absolute deviation0.888
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0167
SAESum of the absolute errors36.407
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. CCL Industries 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for CCL Industries

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CCL Industries. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
50.7952.0053.21
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
51.5452.7553.96
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
51.1853.5655.93
Details

Other Forecasting Options for CCL Industries

For every potential investor in CCL, whether a beginner or expert, CCL Industries' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. CCL Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in CCL. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying CCL Industries' price trends.

CCL Industries Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with CCL Industries stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of CCL Industries could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing CCL Industries by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

CCL Industries Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of CCL Industries' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of CCL Industries' current price.

CCL Industries Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how CCL Industries stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading CCL Industries shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying CCL Industries stock market strength indicators, traders can identify CCL Industries entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

CCL Industries Risk Indicators

The analysis of CCL Industries' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in CCL Industries' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ccl stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in CCL Stock

CCL Industries financial ratios help investors to determine whether CCL Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in CCL with respect to the benefits of owning CCL Industries security.