ONE MEDIA Stock Forward View - Polynomial Regression
| 1M9 Stock | EUR 0.02 0.0005 2.17% |
ONE Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of ONE MEDIA's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The value of RSI of ONE MEDIA's stock price is roughly 62. This suggests that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of 1st of February 2026. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling ONE, making its price go up or down. Momentum 62
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using ONE MEDIA hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of ONE MEDIA IP from the perspective of ONE MEDIA response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of ONE MEDIA IP on the next trading day is expected to be 0.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0002 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.01. ONE MEDIA after-hype prediction price | EUR 0.02 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
ONE |
ONE MEDIA Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine ONE price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for ONE using various technical indicators. When you analyze ONE charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
ONE MEDIA Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 2nd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of ONE MEDIA IP on the next trading day is expected to be 0.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0002, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00000005, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.01.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict ONE Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that ONE MEDIA's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
ONE MEDIA Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest ONE MEDIA | ONE MEDIA Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
ONE MEDIA Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting ONE MEDIA's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. ONE MEDIA's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0002 and 0.91, respectively. We have considered ONE MEDIA's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of ONE MEDIA stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent ONE MEDIA stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 101.2241 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.0E-4 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0074 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.0104 |
Predictive Modules for ONE MEDIA
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ONE MEDIA IP. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.ONE MEDIA After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of ONE MEDIA at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in ONE MEDIA or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of ONE MEDIA, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
ONE MEDIA Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting ONE MEDIA's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on ONE MEDIA's historical news coverage. ONE MEDIA's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 0.91, respectively. We have considered ONE MEDIA's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
ONE MEDIA is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of ONE MEDIA IP is based on 3 months time horizon.
ONE MEDIA Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as ONE MEDIA is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading ONE MEDIA backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with ONE MEDIA, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.08 | 0.89 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.02 | 0.02 | 14.89 |
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ONE MEDIA Hype Timeline
ONE MEDIA IP is presently traded for 0.02on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. ONE is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 0.02. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is insignificant. The price reduction on the next news is expected to be -14.89%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.08%. The volatility of related hype on ONE MEDIA is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.02. About 25.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The company last dividend was issued on the 5th of May 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ONE MEDIA to cross-verify your projections.ONE MEDIA Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to ONE MEDIA's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict ONE MEDIA's future price movements. Getting to know how ONE MEDIA's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how ONE MEDIA may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CNJ | CANON MARKETING JP | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.26 | 0.03 | 2.82 | (2.20) | 6.62 | |
| 4U6 | BAKED GAMES SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.54 | 0.03 | 6.06 | (7.14) | 17.53 | |
| I1M | Indutrade AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 1.95 | (2.60) | 9.25 | |
| H3M | Hochschild Mining plc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.71 | 0.26 | 7.31 | (5.31) | 20.92 | |
| TJW | Scientific Games | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.68 | 0.18 | 4.22 | (3.01) | 20.82 | |
| FR70 | FAST RETAIL ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.76 | (0) | 2.78 | (2.55) | 10.12 | |
| PN1 | Penn National Gaming | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 5.00 | (4.10) | 14.79 | |
| 4H7 | TROPHY GAMES DEV | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.29 | 0.20 | 5.82 | (2.50) | 13.96 |
Other Forecasting Options for ONE MEDIA
For every potential investor in ONE, whether a beginner or expert, ONE MEDIA's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. ONE Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in ONE. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying ONE MEDIA's price trends.ONE MEDIA Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with ONE MEDIA stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of ONE MEDIA could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ONE MEDIA by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
ONE MEDIA Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how ONE MEDIA stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading ONE MEDIA shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying ONE MEDIA stock market strength indicators, traders can identify ONE MEDIA IP entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.02 | |||
| Day Median Price | 0.0235 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 0.0235 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 3.0E-4 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 5.0E-4 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 62.68 |
ONE MEDIA Risk Indicators
The analysis of ONE MEDIA's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in ONE MEDIA's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting one stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.7822 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.65 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.35 | |||
| Variance | 5.53 | |||
| Downside Variance | 32.12 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.71 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.75) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for ONE MEDIA
The number of cover stories for ONE MEDIA depends on current market conditions and ONE MEDIA's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that ONE MEDIA is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about ONE MEDIA's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in ONE Stock
ONE MEDIA financial ratios help investors to determine whether ONE Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ONE with respect to the benefits of owning ONE MEDIA security.