MORIMATSU INTHC Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average
| 1S5 Stock | 0.51 0.02 4.08% |
MORIMATSU |
MORIMATSU INTHC 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 3rd of December
Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of MORIMATSU INTHC on the next trading day is expected to be 0.51 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.84.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict MORIMATSU Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that MORIMATSU INTHC's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
MORIMATSU INTHC Stock Forecast Pattern
MORIMATSU INTHC Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting MORIMATSU INTHC's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. MORIMATSU INTHC's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 5.03, respectively. We have considered MORIMATSU INTHC's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of MORIMATSU INTHC stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent MORIMATSU INTHC stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 97.1619 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0053 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0347 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0614 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 1.84 |
Predictive Modules for MORIMATSU INTHC
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MORIMATSU INTHC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for MORIMATSU INTHC
For every potential investor in MORIMATSU, whether a beginner or expert, MORIMATSU INTHC's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. MORIMATSU Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in MORIMATSU. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying MORIMATSU INTHC's price trends.MORIMATSU INTHC Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with MORIMATSU INTHC stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of MORIMATSU INTHC could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing MORIMATSU INTHC by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
MORIMATSU INTHC Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of MORIMATSU INTHC's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of MORIMATSU INTHC's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
MORIMATSU INTHC Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how MORIMATSU INTHC stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading MORIMATSU INTHC shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying MORIMATSU INTHC stock market strength indicators, traders can identify MORIMATSU INTHC entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
MORIMATSU INTHC Risk Indicators
The analysis of MORIMATSU INTHC's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in MORIMATSU INTHC's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting morimatsu stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.43 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.43 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.56 | |||
| Variance | 20.81 | |||
| Downside Variance | 18.34 | |||
| Semi Variance | 11.74 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (5.04) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.