Smart Sand Stock Forward View - Double Exponential Smoothing
| 1SD Stock | EUR 4.12 0.02 0.48% |
Smart Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Smart Sand's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 13th of February 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Smart Sand's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.931 | Wall Street Target Price 3.05 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.469 |
Using Smart Sand hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Smart Sand from the perspective of Smart Sand response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Smart Sand on the next trading day is expected to be 4.16 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.41. Smart Sand after-hype prediction price | EUR 4.17 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Smart |
Smart Sand Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Smart price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Smart using various technical indicators. When you analyze Smart charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Smart Sand Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 14th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Smart Sand on the next trading day is expected to be 4.16 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.41.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Smart Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Smart Sand's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Smart Sand Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Smart Sand | Smart Sand Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Smart Sand Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Smart Sand's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Smart Sand's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.04 and 9.50, respectively. We have considered Smart Sand's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Smart Sand stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Smart Sand stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0065 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1235 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0387 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 7.41 |
Predictive Modules for Smart Sand
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Smart Sand. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Smart Sand After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Smart Sand at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Smart Sand or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Smart Sand, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Smart Sand Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Smart Sand's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Smart Sand's historical news coverage. Smart Sand's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.21 and 9.63, respectively. We have considered Smart Sand's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Smart Sand is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Smart Sand is based on 3 months time horizon.
Smart Sand Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Smart Sand is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Smart Sand backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Smart Sand, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.12 | 5.34 | 0.36 | 0.47 | 6 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
4.12 | 4.17 | 0.72 |
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Smart Sand Hype Timeline
Smart Sand is presently traded for 4.12on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.36, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.47. Smart is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 4.17 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price rise on the next news is forecasted to be 0.72%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 1.12%. The volatility of related hype on Smart Sand is about 1271.43%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.59. The company reported the revenue of 311.37 M. Net Income was 2.99 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 40.12 M. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Smart Sand to cross-verify your projections.Smart Sand Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Smart Sand's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Smart Sand's future price movements. Getting to know how Smart Sand's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Smart Sand may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| AY5 | Australian Agricultural | 0.00 | 3 per month | 1.61 | (0.03) | 3.90 | (2.53) | 10.13 | |
| A35 | Federal Agricultural Mortgage | 1.98 | 7 per month | 0.88 | (0.03) | 1.85 | (1.33) | 5.16 | |
| UF2 | Sunstone Hotel Investors | 0.15 | 7 per month | 1.70 | (0.04) | 2.61 | (3.12) | 9.30 | |
| NUF | Nufarm Limited | 0.01 | 5 per month | 2.31 | 0 | 4.17 | (4.55) | 20.04 | |
| HAM | Harmony Gold Mining | 0.30 | 8 per month | 3.69 | 0.1 | 6.70 | (6.23) | 23.75 | |
| CZH | Choice Hotels International | 1.50 | 9 per month | 1.87 | 0.07 | 4.76 | (3.43) | 10.18 | |
| 2WY | Wyndham Hotels Resorts | (1.00) | 8 per month | 1.65 | 0.02 | 3.23 | (2.96) | 10.62 |
Other Forecasting Options for Smart Sand
For every potential investor in Smart, whether a beginner or expert, Smart Sand's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Smart Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Smart. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Smart Sand's price trends.Smart Sand Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Smart Sand stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Smart Sand could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Smart Sand by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Smart Sand Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Smart Sand stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Smart Sand shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Smart Sand stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Smart Sand entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 24.32 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.50) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 4.14 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 4.13 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.03) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.02) |
Smart Sand Risk Indicators
The analysis of Smart Sand's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Smart Sand's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting smart stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.85 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.2 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.28 | |||
| Variance | 27.86 | |||
| Downside Variance | 30.35 | |||
| Semi Variance | 17.67 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (4.69) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Smart Sand
The number of cover stories for Smart Sand depends on current market conditions and Smart Sand's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Smart Sand is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Smart Sand's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Smart Sand to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Smart Stock please use our How to Invest in Smart Sand guide.You can also try the Top Crypto Exchanges module to search and analyze digital assets across top global cryptocurrency exchanges.