Bloom Energy Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing

1ZB Stock  EUR 150.00  6.62  4.62%   
Bloom Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Bloom Energy's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 26th of February 2026, the relative strength index (RSI) of Bloom Energy's share price is approaching 48. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Bloom Energy, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 48

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Bloom Energy's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Bloom Energy and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Bloom Energy's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Bloom Energy, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Bloom Energy's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.99)
Wall Street Target Price
30.73
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.359
Using Bloom Energy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Bloom Energy from the perspective of Bloom Energy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Bloom Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 150.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.93 and the sum of the absolute errors of 355.71.

Bloom Energy after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 139.7  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Bloom Energy to cross-verify your projections.

Bloom Energy Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Bloom price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Bloom using various technical indicators. When you analyze Bloom charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Bloom Energy simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Bloom Energy are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Bloom Energy prices get older.

Bloom Energy Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 27th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Bloom Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 150.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.93, mean absolute percentage error of 54.88, and the sum of the absolute errors of 355.71.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Bloom Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Bloom Energy's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Bloom Energy Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Bloom Energy  Bloom Energy Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Bloom Energy Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Bloom Energy's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Bloom Energy's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 143.19 and 156.81, respectively. We have considered Bloom Energy's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
150.00
143.19
Downside
150.00
Expected Value
156.81
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Bloom Energy stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Bloom Energy stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria120.2777
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -1.0632
MADMean absolute deviation5.9285
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0552
SAESum of the absolute errors355.71
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Bloom Energy forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Bloom Energy observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Bloom Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bloom Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
132.89139.70165.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
99.13105.94165.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
-310.44134.47156.71
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.2-0.070.03
Details

Bloom Energy After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Bloom Energy at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Bloom Energy or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Bloom Energy, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Bloom Energy Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Bloom Energy's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Bloom Energy's historical news coverage. Bloom Energy's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 132.89 and 165.00, respectively. We have considered Bloom Energy's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
150.00
132.89
Downside
139.70
After-hype Price
165.00
Upside
Bloom Energy is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Bloom Energy is based on 3 months time horizon.

Bloom Energy Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Bloom Energy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Bloom Energy backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Bloom Energy, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.99 
6.81
  10.30 
  0.08 
10 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
In about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
150.00
139.70
6.87 
65.48  
Notes

Bloom Energy Hype Timeline

Bloom Energy is presently traded for 150.00on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -10.3, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.08. Bloom is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 139.7. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 65.48%. The price reduction on the next news is expected to be -6.87%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.99%. The volatility of related hype on Bloom Energy is about 8512.5%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 150.08. About 86.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.32. Bloom Energy had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 10 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Bloom Energy to cross-verify your projections.

Bloom Energy Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Bloom Energy's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Bloom Energy's future price movements. Getting to know how Bloom Energy's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Bloom Energy may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
94PAUREA SA INH 0.00 0 per month 1.98  0.02  3.44 (3.49) 11.80 
8SPSuperior Plus Corp(0.08)7 per month 3.00 (0.04) 3.59 (2.27) 23.50 
DVDGFranklin Global Quality 0.00 0 per month 0.28  0.1  0.96 (0.57) 3.06 
INLIntel 1.03 9 per month 3.73  0.09  8.76 (5.40) 24.14 
VOWVolkswagen AG 0.00 3 per month 0.48  0.02  1.70 (1.00) 6.39 
BTC1Bitwise Core Bitcoin 0.03 8 per month 0.00 (0.17) 4.44 (5.63) 14.40 
RRURolls Royce Holdings plc 0.22 8 per month 1.81  0.13  3.53 (2.91) 9.23 
RS6Reliance Steel Aluminum(0.50)6 per month 1.11  0.12  3.18 (1.57) 7.73 
9K1NORDIC HALIBUT AS 0.05 2 per month 2.47  0  4.86 (5.15) 12.87 
3RKURYOHIN UNSPADR1 0.05 8 per month 2.32  0.07  4.91 (4.46) 12.82 

Other Forecasting Options for Bloom Energy

For every potential investor in Bloom, whether a beginner or expert, Bloom Energy's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Bloom Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Bloom. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Bloom Energy's price trends.

Bloom Energy Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Bloom Energy stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Bloom Energy could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Bloom Energy by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Bloom Energy Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Bloom Energy stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Bloom Energy shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Bloom Energy stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Bloom Energy entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Bloom Energy Risk Indicators

The analysis of Bloom Energy's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Bloom Energy's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting bloom stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Bloom Energy

The number of cover stories for Bloom Energy depends on current market conditions and Bloom Energy's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Bloom Energy is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Bloom Energy's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Bloom Energy Short Properties

Bloom Energy's future price predictability will typically decrease when Bloom Energy's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Bloom Energy often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Bloom Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bloom Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding280 M
Dividends Paid947 K

Other Information on Investing in Bloom Stock

Bloom Energy financial ratios help investors to determine whether Bloom Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Bloom with respect to the benefits of owning Bloom Energy security.