Nantex Industry Stock Forward View - 20 Period Moving Average
| 2108 Stock | TWD 29.25 0.75 2.63% |
Nantex Industry's 20 Period Moving Average forecast is computed from observed closing prices over the selected horizon. The accuracy statistics below distinguish a well-fitted model from one that is smoothing over meaningful price movement. The 20 Period Moving Average model projects Nantex Industry at 26.89 for the next trading day, below the most recent closing price. The 20 Period Moving Average output reflects statistical model results and is provided for reference purposes.
20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 12th of May 2026
Over a 90-day horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average model forecasts Nantex Industry at 26.89 for the next trading day, with a mean absolute deviation of 0.61 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.02 , and sum of absolute errors of 24.97 .This represents a tight forecast with good short-term tracking of Nantex Industry's price movement. This output is intended for short-term analytical reference.
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Nantex Industry | Nantex Industry Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
Nantex Industry's next-session forecast estimates practical downside and upside boundaries based on the model's historical fit. The forecast band spans 23.74 to 30.03. The wide range indicates elevated uncertainty in short-term projections.
Model Predictive Factors
The table below summarizes the 20 Period Moving Average model's error metrics for Nantex Industry stock. Lower MAD and MAPE values indicate tighter forecast accuracy. AIC measures relative model quality — lower values indicate less information loss and a better-fitting model. A large Bias suggests systematic over- or under-prediction.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 81.0667 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.5126 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.6091 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0224 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 24.9725 |
Other Forecasting Options for Nantex Industry
Analyzing Nantex Industry's price movement through moving averages at different time horizons reveals whether short-term momentum aligns with the longer-term trend. Touches of the upper or lower band in Nantex Industry's chart signal overbought or oversold conditions.Nantex Industry Related Equities
The peer firms below within the Materials space frame Nantex Industry's pricing and running costs in context. Profit comparisons show whether Nantex Industry earns above or below average returns next to its peers. When Nantex Industry breaks from its peer group on a key metric, it often signals a firm-level change worth exploring. This peer set gives the context needed for a well-rounded view of Nantex Industry.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Nantex Industry Market Strength Events
For investors tracking Nantex Industry Co, market strength indicators offer quantitative evaluation of stock behavior. When Rate of Change diverges from price direction, it often signals weakening momentum before a visible reversal in Nantex Industry.
Nantex Industry Risk Indicators
Analyzing Nantex Industry's basic risk indicators provides a structured view of the risk-return trade-off for nantex industry stock. Expected shortfall estimates the average loss in the worst-case tail scenarios, going beyond what standard deviation alone captures for Nantex Industry.
| Mean Deviation | 2.16 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.67 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.21 | |||
| Variance | 10.31 | |||
| Downside Variance | 9.47 | |||
| Semi Variance | 7.15 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -2.60 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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