TIANQI LITHIUM Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

2220 Stock   3.06  0.06  2.00%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of TIANQI LITHIUM H on the next trading day is expected to be 3.16 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.17 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.03. TIANQI Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of TIANQI LITHIUM's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for TIANQI LITHIUM H is based on a synthetically constructed TIANQI LITHIUMdaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

TIANQI LITHIUM 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 12th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of TIANQI LITHIUM H on the next trading day is expected to be 3.16 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.17, mean absolute percentage error of 0.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.03.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict TIANQI Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that TIANQI LITHIUM's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

TIANQI LITHIUM Stock Forecast Pattern

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TIANQI LITHIUM Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting TIANQI LITHIUM's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. TIANQI LITHIUM's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.03 and 9.46, respectively. We have considered TIANQI LITHIUM's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
3.06
3.16
Expected Value
9.46
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of TIANQI LITHIUM stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent TIANQI LITHIUM stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria80.0432
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0187
MADMean absolute deviation0.1674
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0527
SAESum of the absolute errors7.029
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. TIANQI LITHIUM H 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for TIANQI LITHIUM

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TIANQI LITHIUM H. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.153.069.35
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.132.608.89
Details

Other Forecasting Options for TIANQI LITHIUM

For every potential investor in TIANQI, whether a beginner or expert, TIANQI LITHIUM's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. TIANQI Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in TIANQI. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying TIANQI LITHIUM's price trends.

TIANQI LITHIUM Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with TIANQI LITHIUM stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of TIANQI LITHIUM could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing TIANQI LITHIUM by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

TIANQI LITHIUM H Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of TIANQI LITHIUM's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of TIANQI LITHIUM's current price.

TIANQI LITHIUM Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how TIANQI LITHIUM stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading TIANQI LITHIUM shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying TIANQI LITHIUM stock market strength indicators, traders can identify TIANQI LITHIUM H entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

TIANQI LITHIUM Risk Indicators

The analysis of TIANQI LITHIUM's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in TIANQI LITHIUM's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting tianqi stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in TIANQI Stock

TIANQI LITHIUM financial ratios help investors to determine whether TIANQI Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in TIANQI with respect to the benefits of owning TIANQI LITHIUM security.