K2 GOLD Stock Forward View - Triple Exponential Smoothing

23K Stock  EUR 0.41  0.04  8.89%   
23K Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of K2 GOLD's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 4th of February 2026, The relative strength momentum indicator of K2 GOLD's share price is at 50. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling K2 GOLD, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 50

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of K2 GOLD's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of K2 GOLD and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from K2 GOLD's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with K2 GOLD P, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using K2 GOLD hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of K2 GOLD P from the perspective of K2 GOLD response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of K2 GOLD P on the next trading day is expected to be 0.42 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.16.

K2 GOLD after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 0.41  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of K2 GOLD to cross-verify your projections.

K2 GOLD Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine 23K price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for 23K using various technical indicators. When you analyze 23K charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Triple exponential smoothing for K2 GOLD - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When K2 GOLD prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in K2 GOLD price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of K2 GOLD P.

K2 GOLD Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 5th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of K2 GOLD P on the next trading day is expected to be 0.42 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0006, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.16.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict 23K Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that K2 GOLD's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

K2 GOLD Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest K2 GOLD  K2 GOLD Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

K2 GOLD Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting K2 GOLD's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. K2 GOLD's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 6.58, respectively. We have considered K2 GOLD's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.41
0.42
Expected Value
6.58
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of K2 GOLD stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent K2 GOLD stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0012
MADMean absolute deviation0.0197
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0511
SAESum of the absolute errors1.1649
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past K2 GOLD observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older K2 GOLD P observations.

Predictive Modules for K2 GOLD

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as K2 GOLD P. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.416.58
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.386.56
Details

K2 GOLD After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of K2 GOLD at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in K2 GOLD or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of K2 GOLD, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

K2 GOLD Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting K2 GOLD's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on K2 GOLD's historical news coverage. K2 GOLD's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.02 and 6.58, respectively. We have considered K2 GOLD's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.41
0.41
After-hype Price
6.58
Upside
K2 GOLD is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of K2 GOLD P is based on 3 months time horizon.

K2 GOLD Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as K2 GOLD is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading K2 GOLD backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with K2 GOLD, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  1.32 
6.17
 0.00  
  0.36 
5 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
In about 5 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.41
0.41
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

K2 GOLD Hype Timeline

K2 GOLD P is presently traded for 0.41on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.36. 23K is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 1.32%. %. The volatility of related hype on K2 GOLD is about 2243.64%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.77. The book value of the company was presently reported as 0.11. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.01. K2 GOLD P had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 5 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of K2 GOLD to cross-verify your projections.

K2 GOLD Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to K2 GOLD's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict K2 GOLD's future price movements. Getting to know how K2 GOLD's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how K2 GOLD may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for K2 GOLD

For every potential investor in 23K, whether a beginner or expert, K2 GOLD's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. 23K Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in 23K. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying K2 GOLD's price trends.

K2 GOLD Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with K2 GOLD stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of K2 GOLD could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing K2 GOLD by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

K2 GOLD Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how K2 GOLD stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading K2 GOLD shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying K2 GOLD stock market strength indicators, traders can identify K2 GOLD P entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

K2 GOLD Risk Indicators

The analysis of K2 GOLD's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in K2 GOLD's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting 23k stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for K2 GOLD

The number of cover stories for K2 GOLD depends on current market conditions and K2 GOLD's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that K2 GOLD is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about K2 GOLD's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Other Information on Investing in 23K Stock

K2 GOLD financial ratios help investors to determine whether 23K Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 23K with respect to the benefits of owning K2 GOLD security.