Taishin Financial Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

2887F Stock  TWD 45.65  0.05  0.11%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Taishin Financial Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 45.62 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.40. Taishin Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A two period moving average forecast for Taishin Financial is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Taishin Financial Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 23rd of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Taishin Financial Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 45.62 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.40.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Taishin Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Taishin Financial's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Taishin Financial Stock Forecast Pattern

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Taishin Financial Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Taishin Financial's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Taishin Financial's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 45.39 and 45.86, respectively. We have considered Taishin Financial's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
45.65
45.62
Expected Value
45.86
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Taishin Financial stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Taishin Financial stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria110.1103
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0042
MADMean absolute deviation0.0746
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0016
SAESum of the absolute errors4.4
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Taishin Financial Holding price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Taishin Financial. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Taishin Financial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Taishin Financial Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
45.3645.6045.84
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
45.5045.7445.98
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
45.3845.7346.07
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Taishin Financial. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Taishin Financial's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Taishin Financial's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Taishin Financial Holding.

Other Forecasting Options for Taishin Financial

For every potential investor in Taishin, whether a beginner or expert, Taishin Financial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Taishin Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Taishin. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Taishin Financial's price trends.

Taishin Financial Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Taishin Financial stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Taishin Financial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Taishin Financial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Taishin Financial Holding Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Taishin Financial's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Taishin Financial's current price.

Taishin Financial Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Taishin Financial stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Taishin Financial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Taishin Financial stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Taishin Financial Holding entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Taishin Financial Risk Indicators

The analysis of Taishin Financial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Taishin Financial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting taishin stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Taishin Stock Analysis

When running Taishin Financial's price analysis, check to measure Taishin Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Taishin Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Taishin Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Taishin Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Taishin Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Taishin Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.