President Chain Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

2912 Stock  TWD 260.00  2.00  0.76%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of President Chain Store on the next trading day is expected to be 258.07 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.56 and the sum of the absolute errors of 155.91. President Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through President Chain price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

President Chain Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 2nd of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of President Chain Store on the next trading day is expected to be 258.07 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.56, mean absolute percentage error of 16.33, and the sum of the absolute errors of 155.91.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict President Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that President Chain's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

President Chain Stock Forecast Pattern

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Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of President Chain stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent President Chain stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria120.9034
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation2.5559
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0093
SAESum of the absolute errors155.909
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as President Chain Store historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for President Chain

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as President Chain Store. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
259.28260.00260.72
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
224.61225.33286.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
255.98264.51273.05
Details

President Chain Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with President Chain stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of President Chain could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing President Chain by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

President Chain Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how President Chain stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading President Chain shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying President Chain stock market strength indicators, traders can identify President Chain Store entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

President Chain Risk Indicators

The analysis of President Chain's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in President Chain's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting president stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for President Stock Analysis

When running President Chain's price analysis, check to measure President Chain's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy President Chain is operating at the current time. Most of President Chain's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of President Chain's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move President Chain's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of President Chain to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.