Beijing Ultrapower Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

300002 Stock   12.46  0.24  1.89%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Beijing Ultrapower Software on the next trading day is expected to be 11.62 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.47 and the sum of the absolute errors of 19.46. Beijing Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Beijing Ultrapower stock prices and determine the direction of Beijing Ultrapower Software's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Beijing Ultrapower's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Beijing Ultrapower's Other Current Liabilities is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Current Deferred Revenue is expected to grow to about 264.5 M, whereas Total Assets are forecasted to decline to about 4.7 B.
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for Beijing Ultrapower Software is based on a synthetically constructed Beijing Ultrapowerdaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Beijing Ultrapower 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 6th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Beijing Ultrapower Software on the next trading day is expected to be 11.62 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.47, mean absolute percentage error of 0.35, and the sum of the absolute errors of 19.46.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Beijing Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Beijing Ultrapower's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Beijing Ultrapower Stock Forecast Pattern

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Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Beijing Ultrapower stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Beijing Ultrapower stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria80.3122
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.2065
MADMean absolute deviation0.4746
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0403
SAESum of the absolute errors19.457
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Beijing Ultrapower 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Beijing Ultrapower

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Beijing Ultrapower. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.1912.4915.79
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.2710.5713.87
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
2.9511.9816.50
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.140.140.14
Details

Beijing Ultrapower Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Beijing Ultrapower stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Beijing Ultrapower could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Beijing Ultrapower by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Beijing Ultrapower Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Beijing Ultrapower stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Beijing Ultrapower shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Beijing Ultrapower stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Beijing Ultrapower Software entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Beijing Ultrapower Risk Indicators

The analysis of Beijing Ultrapower's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Beijing Ultrapower's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting beijing stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Beijing Stock

Beijing Ultrapower financial ratios help investors to determine whether Beijing Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Beijing with respect to the benefits of owning Beijing Ultrapower security.