Fujian Boss Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

300525 Stock   18.22  0.38  2.13%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Fujian Boss Software on the next trading day is expected to be 18.16 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.63 and the sum of the absolute errors of 38.52. Fujian Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Fujian Boss stock prices and determine the direction of Fujian Boss Software's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Fujian Boss' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Fujian Boss' Total Assets are projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Total Current Liabilities is expected to grow to about 832.2 M, whereas Other Current Liabilities is forecasted to decline to about 1.8 M.
A naive forecasting model for Fujian Boss is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Fujian Boss Software value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Fujian Boss Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 2nd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Fujian Boss Software on the next trading day is expected to be 18.16 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.63, mean absolute percentage error of 0.63, and the sum of the absolute errors of 38.52.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Fujian Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Fujian Boss' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Fujian Boss Stock Forecast Pattern

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Fujian Boss Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Fujian Boss' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Fujian Boss' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 13.78 and 22.54, respectively. We have considered Fujian Boss' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
18.22
18.16
Expected Value
22.54
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Fujian Boss stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Fujian Boss stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.6472
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.6314
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0409
SAESum of the absolute errors38.5181
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Fujian Boss Software. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Fujian Boss. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Fujian Boss

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fujian Boss Software. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.8219.2023.58
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.7517.1321.51
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
16.8017.7118.62
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.130.140.14
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Fujian Boss. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Fujian Boss' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Fujian Boss' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Fujian Boss Software.

Other Forecasting Options for Fujian Boss

For every potential investor in Fujian, whether a beginner or expert, Fujian Boss' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Fujian Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Fujian. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Fujian Boss' price trends.

Fujian Boss Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Fujian Boss stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Fujian Boss could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Fujian Boss by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Fujian Boss Software Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Fujian Boss' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Fujian Boss' current price.

Fujian Boss Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Fujian Boss stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Fujian Boss shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Fujian Boss stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Fujian Boss Software entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Fujian Boss Risk Indicators

The analysis of Fujian Boss' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Fujian Boss' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting fujian stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Fujian Stock

Fujian Boss financial ratios help investors to determine whether Fujian Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Fujian with respect to the benefits of owning Fujian Boss security.