Hangzhou Chang Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

300604 Stock   134.76  3.84  2.77%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Hangzhou Chang Chuan on the next trading day is expected to be 126.94 with a mean absolute deviation of 9.38 and the sum of the absolute errors of 581.58. Hangzhou Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Hangzhou Chang stock prices and determine the direction of Hangzhou Chang Chuan's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Hangzhou Chang's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The value of RSI of Hangzhou Chang's stock price is about 67. This suggests that the stock is rather overbought by investors at the present time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Hangzhou, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 67

 Buy Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Hangzhou Chang's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Hangzhou Chang Chuan, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Hangzhou Chang hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Hangzhou Chang Chuan from the perspective of Hangzhou Chang response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Hangzhou Chang Chuan on the next trading day is expected to be 126.94 with a mean absolute deviation of 9.38 and the sum of the absolute errors of 581.58.

Hangzhou Chang after-hype prediction price

    
  CNY 134.76  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Hangzhou Chang to cross-verify your projections.

Hangzhou Chang Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Hangzhou price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Hangzhou using various technical indicators. When you analyze Hangzhou charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Hangzhou Chang price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Hangzhou Chang Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 24th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Hangzhou Chang Chuan on the next trading day is expected to be 126.94 with a mean absolute deviation of 9.38, mean absolute percentage error of 112.51, and the sum of the absolute errors of 581.58.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Hangzhou Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Hangzhou Chang's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Hangzhou Chang Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Hangzhou ChangHangzhou Chang Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Hangzhou Chang Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Hangzhou Chang's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Hangzhou Chang's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 123.32 and 130.56, respectively. We have considered Hangzhou Chang's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
134.76
123.32
Downside
126.94
Expected Value
130.56
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Hangzhou Chang stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Hangzhou Chang stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria124.6714
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation9.3804
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0996
SAESum of the absolute errors581.5839
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Hangzhou Chang Chuan historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Hangzhou Chang

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hangzhou Chang Chuan. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
131.14134.76138.38
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
121.28142.11145.73
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
82.43116.06149.68
Details

Hangzhou Chang After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Hangzhou Chang at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Hangzhou Chang or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Hangzhou Chang, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Hangzhou Chang Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Hangzhou Chang's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Hangzhou Chang's historical news coverage. Hangzhou Chang's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 131.14 and 138.38, respectively. We have considered Hangzhou Chang's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
134.76
131.14
Downside
134.76
After-hype Price
138.38
Upside
Hangzhou Chang is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Hangzhou Chang Chuan is based on 3 months time horizon.

Hangzhou Chang Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Hangzhou Chang is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Hangzhou Chang backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Hangzhou Chang, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.70 
3.62
 0.00  
  0.03 
0 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
134.76
134.76
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Hangzhou Chang Hype Timeline

Hangzhou Chang Chuan is presently traded for 134.76on Shenzhen Stock Exchange of China. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.03. Hangzhou is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.7%. %. The volatility of related hype on Hangzhou Chang is about 8517.65%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 134.79. About 40.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The company last dividend was issued on the 18th of July 2025. Hangzhou Chang Chuan had 1.9:1 split on the 15th of July 2021. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Hangzhou Chang to cross-verify your projections.

Hangzhou Chang Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Hangzhou Chang's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Hangzhou Chang's future price movements. Getting to know how Hangzhou Chang's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Hangzhou Chang may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for Hangzhou Chang

For every potential investor in Hangzhou, whether a beginner or expert, Hangzhou Chang's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Hangzhou Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Hangzhou. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Hangzhou Chang's price trends.

Hangzhou Chang Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Hangzhou Chang stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Hangzhou Chang could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Hangzhou Chang by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Hangzhou Chang Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Hangzhou Chang stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Hangzhou Chang shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Hangzhou Chang stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Hangzhou Chang Chuan entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Hangzhou Chang Risk Indicators

The analysis of Hangzhou Chang's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Hangzhou Chang's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting hangzhou stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Hangzhou Chang

The number of cover stories for Hangzhou Chang depends on current market conditions and Hangzhou Chang's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Hangzhou Chang is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Hangzhou Chang's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Hangzhou Chang Short Properties

Hangzhou Chang's future price predictability will typically decrease when Hangzhou Chang's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Hangzhou Chang Chuan often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Hangzhou Chang's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hangzhou Chang's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding636.7 M
Cash And Short Term InvestmentsB

Other Information on Investing in Hangzhou Stock

Hangzhou Chang financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hangzhou Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hangzhou with respect to the benefits of owning Hangzhou Chang security.