Jiangsu Jinling Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

300651 Stock   14.15  0.04  0.28%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Jiangsu Jinling Sports on the next trading day is expected to be 14.15 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.31 and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.83. Jiangsu Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Jiangsu Jinling stock prices and determine the direction of Jiangsu Jinling Sports's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Jiangsu Jinling's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Jiangsu Jinling's Total Current Liabilities is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Cash is expected to grow to about 251.1 M, whereas Total Assets are forecasted to decline to about 885.3 M.
A two period moving average forecast for Jiangsu Jinling is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Jiangsu Jinling Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 28th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Jiangsu Jinling Sports on the next trading day is expected to be 14.15 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.31, mean absolute percentage error of 0.24, and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.83.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Jiangsu Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Jiangsu Jinling's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Jiangsu Jinling Stock Forecast Pattern

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Jiangsu Jinling Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Jiangsu Jinling's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Jiangsu Jinling's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 10.77 and 17.53, respectively. We have considered Jiangsu Jinling's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
14.15
14.15
Expected Value
17.53
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Jiangsu Jinling stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Jiangsu Jinling stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.8462
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0828
MADMean absolute deviation0.3138
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.024
SAESum of the absolute errors18.83
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Jiangsu Jinling Sports price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Jiangsu Jinling. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Jiangsu Jinling

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jiangsu Jinling Sports. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.7714.1517.53
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.9211.3014.68
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Jiangsu Jinling. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Jiangsu Jinling's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Jiangsu Jinling's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Jiangsu Jinling Sports.

Other Forecasting Options for Jiangsu Jinling

For every potential investor in Jiangsu, whether a beginner or expert, Jiangsu Jinling's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Jiangsu Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Jiangsu. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Jiangsu Jinling's price trends.

Jiangsu Jinling Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Jiangsu Jinling stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Jiangsu Jinling could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Jiangsu Jinling by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Jiangsu Jinling Sports Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Jiangsu Jinling's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Jiangsu Jinling's current price.

Jiangsu Jinling Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Jiangsu Jinling stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Jiangsu Jinling shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Jiangsu Jinling stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Jiangsu Jinling Sports entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Jiangsu Jinling Risk Indicators

The analysis of Jiangsu Jinling's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Jiangsu Jinling's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting jiangsu stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Jiangsu Stock

Jiangsu Jinling financial ratios help investors to determine whether Jiangsu Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Jiangsu with respect to the benefits of owning Jiangsu Jinling security.