Poly Plastic Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

Poly Plastic Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Poly price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Poly using various technical indicators. When you analyze Poly charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur. A naive forecasting model for Poly Plastic is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Poly Plastic Masterbatch value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Poly Plastic Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Poly Plastic Masterbatch on the next trading day is expected to be 37.90 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.45, mean absolute percentage error of 0.33, and the sum of the absolute errors of 27.78.

Poly Plastic Stock Forecast Pattern

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Poly Plastic Price Prediction

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Poly Plastic Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Poly Plastic stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Poly Plastic stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Poly Plastic Masterbatch. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Poly Plastic. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Poly Plastic

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Poly Plastic Masterbatch. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 35.25 37.13 39.01 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 33.83 35.71 37.59 Details

Poly Plastic After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

Poly Plastic Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Poly Plastic Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Poly Plastic Hype Timeline

Poly Plastic Masterbatch is presently traded for 37.13on Shenzhen Stock Exchange of China. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.04. Poly is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.11%. %. The volatility of related hype on Poly Plastic is about 570.99%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 37.09. About 54.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The book value of Poly Plastic was presently reported as 10.97. The company last dividend was issued on the 19th of November 2025. Poly Plastic Masterbatch had 2:1 split on the 17th of May 2021. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Poly Plastic to cross-verify your projections.

Poly Plastic Related Hype Analysis

Other Forecasting Options for Poly Plastic

For every potential investor in Poly, whether a beginner or expert, Poly Plastic's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Poly Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Poly. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Poly Plastic's price trends.

Poly Plastic Related Equities

Risk & Return

Correlation

Poly Plastic Market Strength Events

Poly Plastic Risk Indicators

Story Coverage note for Poly Plastic

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Poly Plastic Short Properties

Other Information on Investing in Poly Stock

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