Jahen Household Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

300955 Stock   15.87  0.37  2.39%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Jahen Household Products on the next trading day is expected to be 16.72 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.66 and the sum of the absolute errors of 41.18. Jahen Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Jahen Household stock prices and determine the direction of Jahen Household Products's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Jahen Household's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Jahen Household's Other Current Liabilities is projected to decrease significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Non Currrent Assets Other is expected to grow to about 11.7 M, whereas Total Assets are forecasted to decline to about 1.4 B.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Jahen Household price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Jahen Household Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 29th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Jahen Household Products on the next trading day is expected to be 16.72 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.66, mean absolute percentage error of 0.62, and the sum of the absolute errors of 41.18.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Jahen Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Jahen Household's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Jahen Household Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Jahen HouseholdJahen Household Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Jahen Household Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Jahen Household's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Jahen Household's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 13.02 and 20.42, respectively. We have considered Jahen Household's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
15.87
16.72
Expected Value
20.42
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Jahen Household stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Jahen Household stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria119.4718
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.6642
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0485
SAESum of the absolute errors41.1807
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Jahen Household Products historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Jahen Household

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jahen Household Products. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.3315.9919.65
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.8312.4916.15
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
14.8215.7216.62
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Jahen Household. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Jahen Household's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Jahen Household's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Jahen Household Products.

Other Forecasting Options for Jahen Household

For every potential investor in Jahen, whether a beginner or expert, Jahen Household's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Jahen Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Jahen. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Jahen Household's price trends.

Jahen Household Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Jahen Household stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Jahen Household could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Jahen Household by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Jahen Household Products Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Jahen Household's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Jahen Household's current price.

Jahen Household Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Jahen Household stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Jahen Household shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Jahen Household stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Jahen Household Products entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Jahen Household Risk Indicators

The analysis of Jahen Household's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Jahen Household's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting jahen stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Jahen Stock

Jahen Household financial ratios help investors to determine whether Jahen Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Jahen with respect to the benefits of owning Jahen Household security.