Wah Lee Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

3010 Stock  TWD 116.00  1.50  1.31%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Wah Lee Industrial on the next trading day is expected to be 115.95 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.58 and the sum of the absolute errors of 94.72. Wah Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Wah Lee simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Wah Lee Industrial are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Wah Lee Industrial prices get older.

Wah Lee Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 1st of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Wah Lee Industrial on the next trading day is expected to be 115.95 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.58, mean absolute percentage error of 3.81, and the sum of the absolute errors of 94.72.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Wah Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Wah Lee's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Wah Lee Stock Forecast Pattern

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Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Wah Lee stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Wah Lee stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.6099
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.1218
MADMean absolute deviation1.5786
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.013
SAESum of the absolute errors94.7178
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Wah Lee Industrial forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Wah Lee observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Wah Lee

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Wah Lee Industrial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
114.34116.00117.66
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
104.54106.20127.60
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
109.39119.52129.65
Details

Wah Lee Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Wah Lee stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Wah Lee could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Wah Lee by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Wah Lee Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Wah Lee stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Wah Lee shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Wah Lee stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Wah Lee Industrial entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Wah Lee Risk Indicators

The analysis of Wah Lee's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Wah Lee's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting wah stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Wah Stock Analysis

When running Wah Lee's price analysis, check to measure Wah Lee's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Wah Lee is operating at the current time. Most of Wah Lee's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Wah Lee's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Wah Lee's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Wah Lee to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.