Sino BiologicalInc Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

301047 Stock   77.86  1.40  1.77%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Sino BiologicalInc on the next trading day is expected to be 77.86 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.83 and the sum of the absolute errors of 50.62. Sino Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Sino BiologicalInc stock prices and determine the direction of Sino BiologicalInc's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Sino BiologicalInc's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the rsi of Sino BiologicalInc's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Sino BiologicalInc's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Sino BiologicalInc, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Sino BiologicalInc's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.549
EPS Estimate Current Year
1.155
EPS Estimate Next Year
1.405
Wall Street Target Price
74
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.174
Using Sino BiologicalInc hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Sino BiologicalInc from the perspective of Sino BiologicalInc response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Sino BiologicalInc on the next trading day is expected to be 77.86 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.83 and the sum of the absolute errors of 50.62.

Sino BiologicalInc after-hype prediction price

    
  CNY 77.86  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sino BiologicalInc to cross-verify your projections.
At present, Sino BiologicalInc's Other Current Liabilities is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Non Current Assets Total is expected to grow to about 2.2 B, whereas Total Assets are forecasted to decline to about 5.1 B.

Sino BiologicalInc Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Sino price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Sino using various technical indicators. When you analyze Sino charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Sino BiologicalInc simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Sino BiologicalInc are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Sino BiologicalInc prices get older.

Sino BiologicalInc Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 18th of January 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Sino BiologicalInc on the next trading day is expected to be 77.86 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.83, mean absolute percentage error of 2.09, and the sum of the absolute errors of 50.62.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Sino Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Sino BiologicalInc's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Sino BiologicalInc Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Sino BiologicalIncSino BiologicalInc Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Sino BiologicalInc Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Sino BiologicalInc's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Sino BiologicalInc's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 75.90 and 79.82, respectively. We have considered Sino BiologicalInc's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
77.86
77.86
Expected Value
79.82
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Sino BiologicalInc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Sino BiologicalInc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.8465
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0951
MADMean absolute deviation0.8298
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0113
SAESum of the absolute errors50.62
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Sino BiologicalInc forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Sino BiologicalInc observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Sino BiologicalInc

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sino BiologicalInc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
75.9077.8679.82
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
74.0175.9777.93
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.280.290.30
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Sino BiologicalInc. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Sino BiologicalInc's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Sino BiologicalInc's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Sino BiologicalInc.

Other Forecasting Options for Sino BiologicalInc

For every potential investor in Sino, whether a beginner or expert, Sino BiologicalInc's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Sino Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Sino. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Sino BiologicalInc's price trends.

Sino BiologicalInc Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Sino BiologicalInc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Sino BiologicalInc could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Sino BiologicalInc by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Sino BiologicalInc Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Sino BiologicalInc's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Sino BiologicalInc's current price.

Sino BiologicalInc Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Sino BiologicalInc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Sino BiologicalInc shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Sino BiologicalInc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Sino BiologicalInc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Sino BiologicalInc Risk Indicators

The analysis of Sino BiologicalInc's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Sino BiologicalInc's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sino stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Sino Stock

Sino BiologicalInc financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sino Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sino with respect to the benefits of owning Sino BiologicalInc security.